Serie A Title Odds 2026-27: Inter Favored Despite Lazio Leading

Inter are the favorite to win Serie A in 2026-27 at 63% on Kalshi as of November 10, 2026, even though Lazio lead the table. Lazio have 29 points from 11 matches, one ahead of Inter and two ahead of Roma, but the market prices them at only 8%.
Serie A title odds as of November 10, 2026
| Club | Pts | Kalshi | Fair American |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 28 | 63% | -170 |
| Roma | 27 | 19% | +426 |
| Lazio | 29 | 8% | +1150 |
| Como | 23 | 7% | +1329 |
| AC Milan | 24 | 7% | +1329 |
Kalshi prices are the last trades on November 10, 2026, and the fair column turns them into odds with no margin. On November 8, the best sportsbook price on Inter was 8/11 (-138) at Ladbrokes and Lazio were 12/1 at 10Bet, per Oddschecker.
The season simulations from StatsUltra are even harder on Lazio: Inter 70%, Roma 19% and Lazio 1%. You can trade the Serie A winner on Kalshi. Our free plays for the NFL, college football and the NBA are on the free picks page.
Serie A table after Matchday 11
| Pos | Club | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9-2-0 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 9-1-1 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | Roma | 11 | 8-3-0 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7-3-1 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7-2-2 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6-2-3 | +9 | 20 |
Lazio and Roma are the only unbeaten teams. Roma have the best goal difference at +21, scoring 31 and conceding 10. Inter's only loss was 3-1 to AC Milan in the derby on October 31.
Serie A title contenders
Inter
Inter won the 2025-26 Scudetto by 11 points under Cristian Chivu and opened this season around even money. They have the most goals in the league at 28 and are priced as the clear favorite.
Lazio
Lazio last won Serie A in 2000. Gennaro Gattuso's side went 9-1 in their first 10 matches and are one point clear at the top, but the market has them behind three other clubs.
Roma
Roma are unbeaten and have the best attack-defense combination in the league. At 19% they are the market's second choice.
For the European race, see our Champions League odds.


