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Serie A Title Odds 2026-27: Inter Favored Despite Lazio Leading

Serie A Title Odds 2026-27: Inter Favored Despite Lazio Leading

Inter are the favorite to win Serie A in 2026-27 at 63% on Kalshi as of November 10, 2026, even though Lazio lead the table. Lazio have 29 points from 11 matches, one ahead of Inter and two ahead of Roma, but the market prices them at only 8%.

Where it stands
Lazio 29 points, Inter 28, Roma 27, AC Milan 24, Como 23. Lazio opened the season at 80/1 and are off to the best start in club history. The books and the models still rate Inter as the deepest team.
63%
Inter on Kalshi
as of Nov 10, 2026
29
Lazio points
unbeaten, 9-2-0
8%
Lazio on Kalshi
top of the table
+21
Roma goal difference
best in the league

Serie A title odds as of November 10, 2026

ClubPtsKalshiFair American
Inter2863%-170
Roma2719%+426
Lazio298%+1150
Como237%+1329
AC Milan247%+1329

Kalshi prices are the last trades on November 10, 2026, and the fair column turns them into odds with no margin. On November 8, the best sportsbook price on Inter was 8/11 (-138) at Ladbrokes and Lazio were 12/1 at 10Bet, per Oddschecker.

The season simulations from StatsUltra are even harder on Lazio: Inter 70%, Roma 19% and Lazio 1%. You can trade the Serie A winner on Kalshi. Our free plays for the NFL, college football and the NBA are on the free picks page.

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Serie A table after Matchday 11

PosClubPW-D-LGDPts
1Lazio119-2-0+1629
2Inter119-1-1+1528
3Roma118-3-0+2127
4AC Milan117-3-1+1024
5Como117-2-2+823
6Frosinone116-2-3+920

Lazio and Roma are the only unbeaten teams. Roma have the best goal difference at +21, scoring 31 and conceding 10. Inter's only loss was 3-1 to AC Milan in the derby on October 31.

Serie A title contenders

Inter

Inter won the 2025-26 Scudetto by 11 points under Cristian Chivu and opened this season around even money. They have the most goals in the league at 28 and are priced as the clear favorite.

Lazio

Lazio last won Serie A in 2000. Gennaro Gattuso's side went 9-1 in their first 10 matches and are one point clear at the top, but the market has them behind three other clubs.

Roma

Roma are unbeaten and have the best attack-defense combination in the league. At 19% they are the market's second choice.

Our lean
No lean on the Serie A title. Lazio at 8% looks long for the leaders, but every model we checked rates Inter and Roma higher over 38 matches, and we have no number of our own that says otherwise. We will look at the big head-to-head matches as single games when lines post. This is a free editorial read and is not counted in our official win/loss record.

For the European race, see our Champions League odds.

Serie A odds questions

Who is favored to win Serie A in 2026-27?+
Inter, at 63% on Kalshi as of November 10, 2026. Roma are second at 19%.
Who leads Serie A right now?+
Lazio, with 29 points from 11 matches, one ahead of Inter and two ahead of Roma.
Why are Lazio long odds if they are top?+
The market and the season models rate Inter and Roma as stronger teams over a full season. Lazio were 80/1 before the season.
Who won Serie A last season?+
Inter won the 2025-26 title by 11 points.
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