Ballon d'Or 2027 Odds: Lamine Yamal Favored After Kane's Win
Lamine Yamal is the favorite to win the 2027 Ballon d'Or. As of late October and early November 2026, bet365 had him at 3/1 (+300) and William Hill at 7/2 (+350), with Kylian Mbappe second at 5/1. Harry Kane, who won the 2026 award on October 26, is 12/1 to 14/1 to win it again.
2027 Ballon d'Or odds
| Player | Club | bet365 | William Hill | Best American |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | Barcelona | 3/1 | 7/2 | +350 |
| Kylian Mbappe | Real Madrid | 5/1 | n/a | +500 |
| Michael Olise | Bayern Munich | 8/1 | 11/1 | +1100 |
| Jude Bellingham | Real Madrid | 10/1 | 10/1 | +1000 |
| Raphinha | Barcelona | 10/1 | 12/1 | +1200 |
| Erling Haaland | Manchester City | n/a | 12/1 | +1200 |
| Harry Kane | Bayern Munich | 14/1 | 12/1 | +1400 |
| Declan Rice | Arsenal | 20/1 | 20/1 | +2000 |
The William Hill prices are from October 27, 2026, the morning after the ceremony, as reported by Oddschecker. The bet365 prices are from OLBG's report a week later. A best price of +350 on Yamal implies about 22%. This is a partial board, so the percentages cannot be de-vigged.
Award markets on Polymarket and Kalshi exist, but the 2027 Kalshi market is too thin to read so far, with almost no bids. Our free plays for the NFL, college football and the NBA are on the free picks page.
Who won the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Harry Kane won the 2026 Ballon d'Or at the London Palladium on October 26, 2026. He is the first English winner since Michael Owen in 2001, and he scored 73 goals for Bayern Munich and England in the voting period. Kylian Mbappe finished second and Lamine Yamal third.
The 2026 ceremony was the first held outside France, to mark the award's 70th edition. Alexia Putellas won the women's Ballon d'Or for the third time.
2027 Ballon d'Or contenders
Lamine Yamal
Yamal won the Kopa Trophy for the best young player again in 2026 and finished third in the main vote. Barcelona lead La Liga and are the 23% Champions League favorite on Kalshi, which is the path the market expects him to take.
Kylian Mbappe
Mbappe was the 2026 runner-up. He scored both goals in Real Madrid's 2-1 win at Barcelona on October 25, and Real Madrid are three points behind Barcelona in La Liga.
Harry Kane and Michael Olise
Kane has signed a new contract with Bayern Munich, and his teammate Olise is priced shorter than him at bet365. Bayern are the 91% Bundesliga favorite and 14% to win the Champions League.
For the race that may decide it, see our Champions League odds.