Bundesliga Title Odds 2026-27: Bayern 91% While Dortmund Sit Level
Bayern Munich are the favorite to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga at 91% on Kalshi as of November 10, 2026, even though Borussia Dortmund are level with them on 21 points after nine matches. Bayern lead only on goal difference, +20 to +9, after the two drew 2-2 in Munich on October 31.
Bundesliga title odds as of November 10, 2026
| Club | Pts | Kalshi | Fair American | DraftKings, Sept 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 21 | 91% | -1011 | -900 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 21 | 9% | +1011 | +800 |
| RB Leipzig | 18 | n/a | n/a | +2800 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 16 | 2% to 4% | n/a | +2500 |
Kalshi prices are the last trades on November 10, 2026, and the fair column turns them into odds with no margin. Leverkusen trade thinly on Kalshi, so we show the range. The DraftKings prices are from September 22, as tracked by Sports Betting Dime.
The price on Bayern has barely moved since August even with Dortmund level. StatsUltra's season simulations go further than the market and give Bayern 97%. You can trade the Bundesliga winner on Kalshi. Our free plays for the NFL, college football and the NBA are on the free picks page.
Bundesliga table after Matchday 9
| Pos | Club | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 9 | 6-3-0 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6-3-0 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 6-1-2 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6-0-3 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5-1-3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 4-3-2 | +2 | 15 |
Bayern have scored 29 goals in nine matches, 13 more than Dortmund. Dortmund have the best defense at 7 conceded. Both won 2-1 on November 7, Bayern at Mainz and Dortmund at home to Elversberg.
Bundesliga title contenders
Bayern Munich
Bayern have won 13 of the last 14 Bundesliga titles and opened this season at -800 to -900. Harry Kane, the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner, has signed a new contract with the club.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund last won the league in 2011-12. They are unbeaten, level on points and drew at Bayern, which is as good a position as they have had in years.
RB Leipzig and Freiburg
Leipzig are three points back with the second-best goal difference at +14. Freiburg are two points back but are not priced as real contenders.
For the European race, see our Champions League odds.