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Bears vs Seahawks Prediction: Monday Night Football Odds, Picks and Preview

Bears vs Seahawks Prediction: Monday Night Football Odds, Picks and Preview

Seattle is favored by 3.5 points over Chicago as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET, with a total of 46.5. The market implies a final of Seahawks 25, Bears 22. Bears (5-2) at Seahawks (4-3) kicks off Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET on ESPN and ABC (Monday Night Football) from Lumen Field, Seattle.

Where the line stands
Seahawks -3.5, total 46.5 at FanDuel. Implied score Seahawks 25, Bears 22 (25-21.5 at -3.5 and 46.5, so a one-score Seattle win). No-vig win probability from the FanDuel moneyline: Bears 39.7%, Seahawks 60.3%. We have no lean on this game; the reasons are in the box below the injury report.
Seahawks -3.5
Spread (FanDuel)
Opened Seahawks -3
46.5
Total
Opened 47
60.3%
Seahawks win probability
Vig removed, FanDuel
25-22
Implied final
Seahawks 25, Bears 22

Bears vs Seahawks odds at every book

Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ETESPN and ABC (Monday Night Football)
5-2Bears
Away
@
4-3Seahawks
Home ยท Lumen Field
Spread
Seahawks -3.5
Opened Seahawks -3
Moneyline
Bears +142 / Seahawks -168
FanDuel
Total
46.5
Range 46.5
Bears 39.7%Win probability, vig removedSeahawks 60.3%
Every book that has posted a spread is at Seattle -3.5, with the Bears side priced -124 at bet365 and -132 at Caesars, so bet365 is the place for +3.5. BetRivers showed a stray pick'em with a big moneyline, which means its spread was not posted. The total is 46.5 everywhere.
Bears vs Seahawks odds at seven books, as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET
BookBears spreadMoneyline (Bears / Seahawks)Total
BetMGM+3.5 (-130)+145 / -17546.5
bet365+3.5 (-124)+148 / -17646.5
DraftKings+3.5 (-129)+142 / -17046.5
FanDuel+3.5 (-128)+142 / -16846.5
Fanatics+3.5 (-125)+145 / -17546.5
BetRiversNot posted+143 / -17546.5
Caesars+3.5 (-132)+144 / -17046.5

Lines are from SportsbookReview's NFL odds board and cross-checked against VegasInsider's Week 8 odds page (updated October 28 at 11:06 PM) and SI's opening-odds roundup, which agree on the favorite in every game. Seattle opened at -3 on SportsbookReview and at FanDuel on Sunday night, and the number crossed the key number to -3.5 during the week while the price on the Bears side climbed to -124 to -132. The total opened at 47 and settled at 46.5. Action Network shows 59% of spread tickets on Chicago, so the move toward Seattle came against the ticket count. Our free plays for the week are posted on the free picks page.

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Bears vs Seahawks prediction from the odds

1
Start with the total: 46.5
The total is the market's estimate of combined points. Bears average 25.7 a game and allow 20.4; Seahawks average 24.0 and allow 17.9.
2
Add the spread to the favorite
Favorite = (total + spread) / 2. At 46.5 and 3.5, Seahawks project to 25.0 points.
3
Subtract for the underdog
Underdog = (total minus spread) / 2, which puts Bears at 21.5. Rounded, the market says Seahawks 25, Bears 22.
4
Check it against the moneyline
Removing the vig from FanDuel's +142 / -168 gives Bears 39.7% and Seahawks 60.3%, which is consistent with a 3.5-point spread.

Our scoring-average projection is Seahawks 23.5, Bears 20.5, Seattle by 2.9 with a total of 44. The Prediction Tracker median is Seattle by 2.9 (standard deviation 4.2, the widest spread of opinion on the Week 8 board) and Massey has Seattle 23-20, by 3.5. Market, models and our number all sit within a point of each other.

How the Bears and Seahawks got here

Chicago is 5-2 with both losses to NFC North teams (Minnesota and Green Bay) and comes off a Thursday game, so it gets three extra days of rest before flying two time zones west. Seattle snapped a two-game skid by holding Kansas City to 3 points, its best defensive game of the season, and allows a league-low 233.9 yards a game.

Chicago Bears 2026 results (5-2)
WkDateOpponentResult
1Sep 13at CarolinaW 59-37
2Sep 20vs MinnesotaL 9-3
3Sep 28vs PhiladelphiaW 27-7
4Oct 4vs N.Y. JetsW 23-12
5Oct 11at Green BayL 31-7
6Oct 18at AtlantaW 31-23
7Oct 22vs New EnglandW 30-24
Seattle Seahawks 2026 results (4-3)
WkDateOpponentResult
1Sep 9vs New EnglandW 13-10
2Sep 20at ArizonaW 31-7
3Sep 27at WashingtonL 33-31
4Oct 4vs L.A. ChargersW 30-23
5Oct 11vs San FranciscoL 32-29
6Oct 15at DenverL 17-14 (OT)
7Oct 25vs Kansas CityW 20-3
25.7
Bears points per game
Allow 20.4
24.0
Seahawks points per game
Allow 17.9

Caleb Williams vs Sam Darnold

Caleb Williams is back from the hamstring injury that cost him time, and Chicago has won both games since: 31-23 at Atlanta and 30-24 over New England on Thursday night, when he threw for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns with a 116.7 passer rating. Chicago leads the league in time of possession at 35:30 and averages 390.7 yards and 25.7 points a game.

Sam Darnold has 8 touchdowns and 8 interceptions for the defending champions, and Seattle's offense ran through the ground game and the defense in last week's 20-3 win over Kansas City. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 867 yards and 8 touchdowns with six 100-yard games in seven weeks. Left tackle Charles Cross left the Chiefs game with an ankle injury (a high-ankle sprain, per Seattle reporting) and has no timetable.

Bears vs Seahawks injury report

Statuses are from NFL.com's Week 8 injury report as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, plus team reporting where noted. Because this is a Monday game, neither team had filed an official Week 8 practice report when this page was written. NFL.com listed no injuries for either club on Thursday. The entries above come from the teams' own reporting after Week 7 and need re-checking against Friday's and Saturday's reports.

Bears injury report
PlayerPosStatusSource, date
Caleb WilliamsQBNot on the report; started the last two gamesNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Cole KmetTEInjured reserve, out for the season (knee)Team, Oct 26
Kyler GordonCBActivated from PUPTeam, Oct 26
Montez SweatDEAvailable, suspension liftedTeam, Oct 26
Braxton JonesOTInjured reserveTeam, Oct 26
Seahawks injury report
PlayerPosStatusSource, date
Sam DarnoldQBNot on the reportNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Charles CrossLTAnkle (reported high-ankle sprain), no timetableSeahawks reporting, Oct 26
Rashid ShaheedWRKnee, no return timelineSeahawks reporting, Oct 26
Velus JonesWRHamstringSeahawks reporting, Oct 26
Zach CharbonnetRBReturning toward practice; coach says either, both or neither back could playMike Macdonald, Oct 26
Our lean: no lean
No lean on Bears @ Seahawks. There is nothing here that beats the line. Our number is Seattle by 2.9 against a 3.5-point spread, which is less than a point of cushion for the Bears, and the models say the same thing. The only argument with any size is the total: our 44 is 2.5 under the 46.5, but Massey is at 46.5 and the Bears average 25.7 points on their own, so that does not come close to our 8-point totals bar. Chicago's pass defense allows 8.7 yards per attempt, last in the league, which is the Over case and the risk to any Under. Our free plays for the day are on the free picks page, and the full Week 8 board is in our NFL Week 8 preview. We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. This read is a free editorial read and is not counted in our official win/loss record.

Other Week 8 games we broke down: Eagles vs Commanders, Ravens vs Bills, Vikings vs Lions, Chiefs vs Broncos.

Bears vs Seahawks questions people ask

Who is favored in Bears vs Seahawks on Monday Night Football?+
Seattle is favored by 3.5 points at every book that has posted a spread as of October 29, 2026, with the moneyline at Seahawks -168 to -176 and Bears +142 to +148.
What is the Bears vs Seahawks prediction?+
The market implies Seahawks 25, Bears 22 at -3.5 and a 46.5 total. Our own projection is Seahawks 23, Bears 21, which is inside a point of the spread, so we have no lean on this game.
What is the total for Bears vs Seahawks?+
The total is 46.5 at all seven books on SportsbookReview as of October 29, 2026, down from an opener of 47.
What time is Bears vs Seahawks and what channel is it on?+
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Monday, November 2, 2026, on ESPN and ABC, from Lumen Field in Seattle.
Is Caleb Williams playing against the Seahawks?+
Yes, as far as the reports show. Williams has started the last two games since returning from a hamstring injury and was not on Chicago's report on Thursday. The first official Week 8 report for a Monday game comes later in the week.
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