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Vikings vs Lions Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks and Preview

Vikings vs Lions Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks and Preview

Detroit is favored by 3.5 points over Minnesota as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET, with a total of 45.5 to 46.5. The market implies a final of Lions 24, Vikings 21. Vikings (6-0) at Lions (4-2) kicks off Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET on FOX from Ford Field, Detroit.

Where the line stands
Lions -3.5, total 45.5 at FanDuel. Implied score Lions 24, Vikings 21 (24.5-21 at -3.5 and 45.5 (FanDuel)). No-vig win probability from the FanDuel moneyline: Vikings 39.3%, Lions 60.7%. Our lean is in the box below the injury report.
Lions -3.5
Spread (FanDuel)
Opened Lions -3
45.5
Total
Opened 46
60.7%
Lions win probability
Vig removed, FanDuel
24-21
Implied final
Lions 24, Vikings 21

Vikings vs Lions odds at every book

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETFOX
6-0Vikings
Away
@
4-2Lions
Home ยท Ford Field
Spread
Lions -3.5
Opened Lions -3
Moneyline
Vikings +144 / Lions -172
FanDuel
Total
45.5
Range 45.5 to 46.5
Vikings 39.3%Win probability, vig removedLions 60.7%
Every book is at Lions -3.5. The Vikings side is -116 at bet365 and -118 at BetMGM, FanDuel, BetRivers and Caesars, with DraftKings the worst price at -128. The total splits 45.5 to 46.5, so Over bettors want DraftKings, FanDuel or BetRivers at 45.5 and Under bettors want bet365 at 46.5.
Vikings vs Lions odds at seven books, as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET
BookVikings spreadMoneyline (Vikings / Lions)Total
BetMGM+3.5 (-118)+145 / -17546
bet365+3.5 (-116)+150 / -18046.5
DraftKings+3.5 (-128)+142 / -17045.5
FanDuel+3.5 (-118)+144 / -17245.5
Fanatics+3.5 (-120)+150 / -18046
BetRivers+3.5 (-118)+140 / -17545.5
Caesars+3.5 (-119)+151 / -17946

Lines are from SportsbookReview's NFL odds board and cross-checked against VegasInsider's Week 8 odds page (updated October 28 at 11:06 PM) and SI's opening-odds roundup, which agree on the favorite in every game. Detroit opened at -3 on SportsbookReview and at FanDuel; Action Network shows an early -4.5 that came down. The consensus now is -3.5 at every book, so the move since the open is a half point toward the Lions. The total opened at 46 and sits at 45.5 to 46.5. Action Network has 60% of spread tickets on Minnesota, and SportsbookReview's consensus is 48% Vikings, 52% Lions, so the number has not moved against the public side. Our free plays for the week are posted on the free picks page.

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Vikings vs Lions prediction from the odds

1
Start with the total: 45.5
The total is the market's estimate of combined points. Vikings average 20.8 a game and allow 12.3; Lions average 30.7 and allow 27.5.
2
Add the spread to the favorite
Favorite = (total + spread) / 2. At 45.5 and 3.5, Lions project to 24.5 points.
3
Subtract for the underdog
Underdog = (total minus spread) / 2, which puts Vikings at 21.0. Rounded, the market says Lions 24, Vikings 21.
4
Check it against the moneyline
Removing the vig from FanDuel's +144 / -172 gives Vikings 39.3% and Lions 60.7%, which is consistent with a 3.5-point spread.

Our scoring-average projection is Vikings 23, Lions 23, a dead heat, with a total of 45.7. The Prediction Tracker median has Minnesota by 0.3 (standard deviation 3.9) and gives Detroit only a 41% chance to cover -3.5. Massey is the one system on Detroit's side, at Lions 23-21. Against a 3.5-point spread, our number and the tracker median both give the Vikings more than 3 points of cushion.

How the Vikings and Lions got here

Minnesota is the league's only unbeaten team and has not allowed more than 22 points in a game. Detroit has scored 31 or more four times and lost twice in games where it gave up 32 and 41. The Vikings are 4-2 against the spread and the Lions 1-4-1, per Complex's Week 8 odds roundup. These teams split last season, and the winner leads the NFC North on Sunday night.

Minnesota Vikings 2026 results (6-0)
WkDateOpponentResult
1Sep 13vs Green BayW 39-22
2Sep 20at ChicagoW 9-3
3Sep 27at Tampa BayW 23-16
4Oct 4vs MiamiW 15-10
5Oct 11at New OrleansW 23-13
6Bye
7Oct 25vs IndianapolisW 16-10
Detroit Lions 2026 results (4-2)
WkDateOpponentResult
1Sep 13vs New OrleansW 31-30 (OT)
2Sep 17at BuffaloL 41-31
3Sep 27vs N.Y. JetsW 31-24
4Oct 4at CarolinaL 32-26
5Oct 11at ArizonaW 45-21
6Bye
7Oct 25vs Green BayW 20-17
20.8
Vikings points per game
Allow 12.3
30.7
Lions points per game
Allow 27.5

Kyler Murray vs Jared Goff

Kyler Murray is 6-0 as Minnesota's starter and the offense has scored 125 points, tied for the second fewest by a 6-0 team since 1940 per ESPN Research. He threw for 150 yards and a touchdown in the 16-10 win over Indianapolis, a game the Vikings trailed 10-6 at halftime. Four of the six wins are by one score. This team wins with Brian Flores' defense, which has allowed 74 points, 12.3 a game, and the fewest touchdowns in the league.

Jared Goff and the Lions put up 184 points in six games (30.7 a game) and beat Green Bay 20-17 last week after the bye. Detroit's Thursday report is the concern: Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Penei Sewell, Aidan Hutchinson and Alim McNeill all did not practice, per NFL.com. Some of those are veteran rest days; Friday's designations say which.

Vikings vs Lions injury report

Statuses are from NFL.com's Week 8 injury report as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, plus team reporting where noted. Both quarterbacks are off the report. Detroit's long list of non-participants on Thursday includes several veterans who often rest midweek, so the Friday report is the one that matters. Aaron Jones left the Colts game with a shoulder injury and did not practice Thursday.

Vikings injury report
PlayerPosStatusSource, date
Kyler MurrayQBNot on the reportNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Aaron JonesRBDid not participateNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Brian O'NeillRTLimitedNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Joe HuberGDid not participateNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Lions injury report
PlayerPosStatusSource, date
Jared GoffQBNot on the reportNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Jahmyr GibbsRBDid not participateNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDid not participateNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Penei SewellRTDid not participateNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Aidan HutchinsonDEDid not participateNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Alim McNeillDTDid not participateNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Kerby JosephSLimitedNFL.com, Thu Oct 29
Our lean
LEAN: Minnesota @ Detroit, Vikings +3.5 (-118 at FanDuel), as of October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET. Our projection has this game even and the Prediction Tracker median agrees within half a point, which is 3.5 points of cushion on a number that sits on the right side of the key number 3. Detroit's offense averages 30.7 a game, but its defense allows 27.5, and Minnesota has held every opponent to 22 or fewer. The line has moved toward the Vikings with 60% of tickets on them, so this is not a reverse-line-movement spot and the money is not against us. Main risk: The main risk is Minnesota's offense. A 6-0 team that has scored 16, 15 and 9 in three of its wins is one turnover from losing by a touchdown, and Detroit's offense is the best Minnesota has faced. Massey sits on Detroit's side, so the models are split rather than unanimous, which is why this is a lean and not a pick. If Aaron Jones is out and the Vikings cannot run, the cushion shrinks. Today's free plays are on the free picks page, and the full Week 8 board is in our NFL Week 8 preview. We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. This lean is a free editorial read and is not counted in our official win/loss record.

Other Week 8 games we broke down: Eagles vs Commanders, Bears vs Seahawks, Ravens vs Bills, Chiefs vs Broncos.

Vikings vs Lions questions people ask

Who is favored in Vikings vs Lions?+
Detroit is favored by 3.5 points at all seven books on SportsbookReview as of October 29, 2026, with the Vikings side priced -116 to -128. The moneyline is Lions -170 to -180, Vikings +140 to +151.
What is the Vikings vs Lions prediction?+
The market implies Lions 24, Vikings 21 at -3.5 and 45.5. Our own projection is a 23-23 game, and the Prediction Tracker median is Minnesota by 0.3, so our lean is Vikings +3.5.
What is the total for Vikings vs Lions?+
The total is 45.5 to 46.5 depending on the book as of October 29, 2026. It opened at 46. Minnesota has not allowed more than 22 points in a game this season.
What time is Vikings vs Lions and what channel is it on?+
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1, 2026, on FOX, from Ford Field in Detroit.
Are the Vikings undefeated?+
Yes. Minnesota is 6-0 with Kyler Murray at quarterback and 125 points scored, the second-fewest by a 6-0 team since 1940 per ESPN Research. The defense has allowed 74 points in six games.
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