Eagles vs Commanders Prediction: Sunday Night Football Odds, Picks and Preview

Washington is favored by 5.5 to 6.5 points over Philadelphia as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET, with a total of 40 to 40.5. The market implies a final of Commanders 24, Eagles 17. Eagles (2-5) at Commanders (1-4-1) kicks off Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET on NBC (Sunday Night Football) from Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD.

Eagles vs Commanders odds at every book

Lines are from SportsbookReview's NFL odds board and cross-checked against VegasInsider's Week 8 odds page (updated October 28 at 11:06 PM) and SI's opening-odds roundup, which agree on the favorite in every game. The Commanders opened at -3.5 to -4 on SportsbookReview's board and are now -5.5 to -6.5, a move of 2 points in Washington's favor during the week. The total opened at 40 and has barely moved (40 to 40.5). Action Network shows an early lookahead line that had Philadelphia favored by 1.5 before Jalen Hurts went on injured reserve, which explains the size of the swing. Our free plays for the week are posted on the free picks page.

Eagles vs Commanders prediction from the odds

Our scoring-average projection is Commanders 25, Eagles 22, a 2.6-point Washington edge, and that number is built on five Eagles games with Hurts at quarterback and two with McKee. The Prediction Tracker median has Washington by 1.3 (standard deviation 3.0) and Massey has Washington 24-22. Every model sits 3 to 5 points below the market, and all of them are blind to the quarterback change.

How the Eagles and Commanders got here

Philadelphia has lost five straight since a 2-0 start and led Dallas 21-20 in the third quarter on Monday before giving up 18 unanswered points. Washington is 1-4-1 and has not won since beating Seattle 33-31 in Week 3, but it rallied from 20 down at San Francisco before the bye and is the only one of these two teams that has had a week off. The first meeting, September 13 in Philadelphia, went to the Eagles 24-22 with Hurts at quarterback.

Tanner McKee vs Jayden Daniels: the quarterback matchup that moved the line

Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve with blood clots. The Eagles put him on IR on October 17 with a clot in his calf, and on October 19 the team and his agent said he has deep vein thrombosis and clots in both lungs; he is on blood thinners and, per the Associated Press and ESPN, is expected to miss the rest of the season. Tanner McKee makes his third start of the season. In his first, the 25-14 loss to Carolina, he went 26 of 45 for 215 yards and a touchdown, and the Eagles scored 21 against Dallas in his second. That is the number behind a 40.5 total and a 2-point line move.

Jayden Daniels is a full participant on Washington's Thursday report, and he went 29 of 40 for 300 yards and 2 touchdowns in the 23-17 Week 6 loss at San Francisco before the bye. He is throwing to a receiver room without Terry McLaurin, who is out for the season with a torn patellar tendon, and Stefon Diggs did not practice Thursday.

Eagles vs Commanders injury report

Statuses are from NFL.com's Week 8 injury report as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, plus team reporting where noted. NFL.com's Thursday report listed no Eagles players, because Hurts is on injured reserve rather than the practice report and Philadelphia's Monday night injuries (Barkley, Quinyon Mitchell, Dameon Pierce) had not been given a Week 8 designation when this page was written. Washington had a Week 7 bye and is rested.

Other Week 8 games we broke down: Bears vs Seahawks, Ravens vs Bills, Vikings vs Lions, Chiefs vs Broncos.

Eagles vs Commanders questions people ask