Big Ten Championship Odds 2026: Indiana Favored Over Unbeaten UCLA

Indiana is the favorite in the Big Ten championship odds at -105 to -110 across four sportsbooks, as of Monday, November 9, 2026. Unbeaten UCLA is next at +175 to +300, then Oregon at +650 to +700. The 2026 Big Ten Championship Game is Saturday, December 5, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis (8:00 PM ET, FOX).
Big Ten championship odds at four sportsbooks
| Team | bet365 | BetMGM | Caesars | FanDuel | Fair % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | -110 | -110 | -105 | -105 | 44.7% |
| UCLA | +250 | +300 | +175 | +290 | 22.4% |
| Oregon | +650 | +650 | +700 | +650 | 11.6% |
| USC | +1100 | +800 | +1100 | +900 | 8.7% |
| Ohio State | +1200 | +1500 | +1300 | +1000 | 7.9% |
| Iowa | +3500 | +5000 | +3200 | +4500 | 1.9% |
| Wisconsin | +4000 | +4000 | +4500 | +4500 | 1.9% |
| Illinois | +15000 | Off | +12500 | +12500 | 0.7% |
| Northwestern | +40000 | +50000 | Off | +40000 | 0.2% |
Prices come from VegasInsider's Big Ten championship board dated November 9, 2026, and the FanDuel column matches FanDuel's own Big Ten odds page. The DraftKings column on that board was stale and is left out. Lines move, so check the number before you bet.
Fair % is each team's implied probability on the FanDuel board with the sportsbook margin removed. FanDuel lists nine teams and those prices add up to 114.7%, so each one is divided by that total.
UCLA is the price to shop. The Bruins pay +300 at BetMGM and +175 at Caesars, a gap of more than 11 points of implied probability. Compare books on our sportsbooks page before placing a futures bet.
Big Ten standings and who controls the race
| Team | Conf. | Overall | Conference losses | Conference games left |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 6-0 | 9-0 | None | Illinois, at Michigan, USC |
| Indiana | 5-1 | 8-1 | Ohio State 19-15 | USC, at Washington, Purdue |
| Oregon | 4-2 | 6-3 | UCLA 17-15, Illinois | Michigan, at Michigan State, Washington |
| USC | 4-2 | 7-2 | Oregon 41-27, at Wisconsin 24-7 | at Indiana, Maryland, at UCLA |
| Ohio State | 4-2 | 6-3 | at USC 30-18, Oregon 41-28 | Northwestern, at Nebraska, Michigan |
UCLA and Indiana both control their own path. UCLA would finish 9-0 by winning out and Indiana would finish 8-1, and every other Big Ten team already has two conference losses.
UCLA and Indiana do not play each other in the regular season. Their first meeting would be the Big Ten Championship Game.
If Indiana loses once, the tiebreakers get harder for the Hoosiers. Ohio State beat Indiana 19-15 on October 17, so the Buckeyes hold that head-to-head result if the two finish tied.
Iowa, Wisconsin and Illinois are also 4-2 in the Big Ten. Each needs to win out and have both UCLA and Indiana lose again to reach Indianapolis.
Remaining Big Ten schedule for the title contenders
| Team | Nov. 13 or 14 | Nov. 21 | Nov. 27 or 28 |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA (6-0) | vs Illinois, Friday, Nov. 13, 9:00 PM ET, FOX | at Michigan | vs USC |
| Indiana (5-1) | vs USC, 3:30 PM ET, CBS | at Washington | vs Purdue |
| Oregon (4-2) | vs Michigan | at Michigan State | vs Washington |
| USC (4-2) | at Indiana, 3:30 PM ET, CBS | vs Maryland | at UCLA |
| Ohio State (4-2) | vs Northwestern, noon ET, FOX | at Nebraska | vs Michigan, noon ET, FOX |
USC is the team that can change the race. The Trojans play at Indiana on November 14 and at UCLA on November 28, and winning both would put USC at 7-2 with a win over each leader.
The lines for Illinois at UCLA and USC at Indiana are in our college football Week 11 preview, and our free plays are posted on the free picks page.
Big Ten title contenders, team by team
Indiana (-105 to -110)
Indiana is 8-1 overall and 5-1 in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers' one loss was 19-15 to Ohio State on October 17.
Indiana's last two opponents after USC, Washington and Purdue, are both 2-4 in the conference. At -105, a bettor risks $105 to win $100 on Indiana winning the title game.
UCLA (+175 to +300)
UCLA is 9-0 overall and 6-0 in the Big Ten, the only unbeaten team in the league. The Bruins won 17-15 at Oregon on October 10 and beat Wisconsin 17-7 a week later.
UCLA has played since the Oregon game without quarterback Nico Iamaleava, who injured his knee that day. The Bruins still face two 4-2 teams, Illinois and USC, plus a trip to Michigan.
Oregon (+650 to +700)
Oregon is 6-3 overall and 4-2 in the Big Ten after winning 41-28 at Ohio State on November 7. The Ducks also beat USC 41-27 and lost to UCLA and Illinois.
Oregon needs to win out and have Indiana lose again to have a path. The Ducks lost the head-to-head game with UCLA.
USC (+800 to +1100)
USC is 7-2 overall and 4-2 in the Big Ten. The Trojans beat Ohio State 30-18 on October 31 and lost to Oregon and Wisconsin.
USC is the only 4-2 team that plays both leaders. BetMGM has the Trojans at +800 and bet365 and Caesars have them at +1100.
Ohio State (+1000 to +1500)
Ohio State is 6-3 overall and 4-2 in the Big Ten after back-to-back losses to USC and Oregon. The Buckeyes opened the season as the +180 favorite.
Ohio State holds the head-to-head win over Indiana but lost to both USC and Oregon, the two teams tied with it that matter most in the odds.
How the Big Ten championship odds have moved
| Team | Opened | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | +180 | +1000 to +1500 |
| Oregon | +260 | +650 to +700 |
| Indiana | +310 | -105 to -110 |
| USC | +1300 | +800 to +1100 |
| UCLA | +17000 (DraftKings, Aug. 17) | +175 to +300 |
Ohio State opened as the +180 favorite and is now as long as +1500. Indiana opened third at +310 and is now the favorite at -105 to -110.
UCLA is the biggest mover on the board. DraftKings listed the Bruins at +17000 on August 17, per FOX Sports, and they are +175 to +300 now.
How the Big Ten Championship Game works
The Big Ten has 18 teams and no divisions. Each team plays nine conference games, and the two teams with the best conference winning percentage meet in Indianapolis.
Ties are broken by head-to-head results first, then by record against common conference opponents. Indiana beat Ohio State 13-10 in the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game.
The Big Ten champion earns an automatic bid to the 12-team College Football Playoff. Our CFP predictions page shows where the market seeds the field, and our guide to futures bets explains how these prices work.
A futures ticket ties up your money until December 5. Exchanges handle that differently: Kalshi lets you sell out of a position before the game ends.
No lean on the Big Ten board as of Monday, November 9, 2026. Indiana's fair price on the FanDuel board is 44.7% and UCLA's is 22.4%, and both teams play USC before the regular season ends.
The better time to act is after USC at Indiana on Saturday, which changes the price on three teams at once. Our handicapped plays are on premium picks, and our free plays are on free picks.
This read is free editorial analysis and is not counted in our official win/loss record.


