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College Football National Championship Odds 2026-27: Every Contender Ranked

College Football National Championship Odds 2026-27: Every Contender Ranked

Three weeks into the season, the college football national championship odds look like a six-team race with a long line of hopefuls behind it. Ohio State is still the sportsbook favorite despite losing to Texas, the Longhorns hold the No. 1 ranking, and a few September results have already reshaped the board. Here is every contender's price, what the market thinks it means, and the road to the title game in Las Vegas.

Top of the board
At FanDuel (September 20, 2026), Ohio State (+500) leads the national championship odds, followed by Texas (+550), Georgia (+600), Notre Dame (+700), Miami (+800) and Indiana (+850). On the Kalshi prediction market (September 24), Texas is the top pick at 14%.
+500
Ohio State at FanDuel
About a 16.7% implied chance
14%
Texas on Kalshi
The market's top pick, Sept. 24
Jan. 25
National title game
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas

National championship odds by implied chance

Top 10 at FanDuel, Sept. 20, 2026
Ohio State +50016.7%
Texas +55015.4%
Georgia +60014.3%
Notre Dame +70012.5%
Miami (FL) +80011.1%
Indiana +85010.5%
LSU +15006.2%
Ole Miss +19005.0%
Oregon +25003.8%
Alabama +27003.6%
Implied probability from the listed odds, before removing the book's margin.
Show the full FanDuel board (17 teams)
#TeamOddsImplied
1Ohio State+50016.7%
2Texas+55015.4%
3Georgia+60014.3%
4Notre Dame+70012.5%
5Miami (FL)+80011.1%
6Indiana+85010.5%
7LSU+15006.2%
8Ole Miss+19005.0%
9Oregon+25003.8%
10Alabama+27003.6%
11Texas Tech+33002.9%
12Florida+33002.9%
13USC+33002.9%
14Tennessee+35002.8%
15Texas A&M+55001.8%
16Oklahoma+60001.6%
17Penn State+60001.6%

Sportsbook vs. prediction market

Sportsbooks and prediction markets do not always agree, and that gap is useful. FanDuel still prices Ohio State first; Kalshi traders have Texas on top after the Longhorns beat the Buckeyes head to head. Here are the top 10 side by side:

Two markets, one race
TeamFanDuelImpliedKalshi
Ohio State+50016.7%11%
Texas+55015.4%14%
Georgia+60014.3%12%
Notre Dame+70012.5%11%
Miami (FL)+80011.1%10%
Indiana+85010.5%10%
LSU+15006.2%4%
Ole Miss+19005.0%6%
Oregon+25003.8%4%
Alabama+27003.6%3%
FanDuel odds as of Sept. 20; Kalshi probabilities as of Sept. 24. Kalshi prices are shown as the market's probability, so they are not directly comparable with a book's margin included. Our guide to Kalshi and Polymarket explains the difference.

The results that moved the board

Texas beats Ohio State

The biggest swing of the young season came in Week 2, when Texas rallied from a 23-3 fourth-quarter deficit to beat then-No. 1 Ohio State 24-23. Texas followed with a 30-6 win over UTSA and took over the top ranking. Our Texas-Tennessee preview covers the Longhorns' first true road test.

Ole Miss knocks off LSU

Ole Miss jumped out 17-0 and beat LSU 32-24 in Lane Kiffin's first game back in Oxford, climbing to +1900 at FanDuel and 6% on Kalshi. LSU dropped to +1500 but remains one of the SEC's higher-priced contenders.

Oregon and Texas A&M stumble

Oregon lost to Oklahoma State as a sizable favorite, and its Kalshi price fell from 10% to 4%. No. 9 Texas A&M lost at home to Kentucky and slid to +5500 at FanDuel, a long way back in a 12-team field.

Alabama survives a shootout

Alabama rallied past Florida State 50-36 behind quarterback Keelon Russell, who threw for 320 yards and three touchdowns and ran for 56 yards and another score. The Tide sit at +2700.

The road to the national championship

The 2026-27 College Football Playoff uses a 12-team field built from conference champions and the selection committee's final rankings. First-round games are on campus, then the bracket moves to the bowls:

1
Selection Day: Sunday, Dec. 6, 2026
The 12-team field and bracket are announced.
2
First round: Dec. 18 and 19
Four games played at campus sites.
3
Quarterfinals: Dec. 30 to Jan. 1
Fiesta, Peach, Rose and Cotton Bowls.
4
Semifinals: Jan. 14 and 15, 2027
Orange Bowl and Sugar Bowl.
5
National Championship: Monday, Jan. 25, 2027
Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

How national championship futures work

A title bet is a futures wager that will not settle until late January. A team at +500 pays $500 on a $100 bet if it wins the whole thing, but it has to survive the rest of the regular season, a conference race, selection and up to four playoff games. That is why even the favorite sits below a 20% implied chance.

Bet early
βœ“Longer prices on teams that rise
βœ•More can go wrong before January
Bet later
βœ“Clearer picture of who is actually good
βœ•Prices shorten as contenders separate

Futures boards carry a larger built-in margin than single games, so comparing prices across books matters. See how the vig works for the math.

National title odds questions

Who is favored to win the college football national championship?
Ohio State at +500 at FanDuel as of September 20, 2026, with Texas (+550) and Georgia (+600) close behind. On Kalshi, Texas leads at 14%.
When and where is the 2027 national championship game?
Monday, January 25, 2027, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.
How many teams make the College Football Playoff?
Twelve. The field is built from conference champions and the selection committee's final rankings, with first-round games on campus.
Why is Ohio State favored if Texas beat them?
Futures price a whole season, not one game. Books still rate Ohio State's roster highly, and a single close loss in September does not remove a team from a 12-team playoff.
Do national championship odds change every week?
Yes. Results, injuries and ranking changes move them weekly, so a September price can look very different by December.
Title odds move every Saturday
Check the current price across our top-rated books before you lock in a future, and see our picks for this weekend's slate.

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College Football National Championship Odds 2026-27 | Guaranteed Sport Picks