Florida vs Georgia Prediction and Odds: College Football Week 9 in Atlanta

No. 3 Georgia is favored by 11.5 to 12.5 points over No. 17 Florida as of Friday, October 30, 2026, 9:30 AM ET, with a total of 56.5 at every book. The market implies a final of Georgia 34.5, Florida 22. Florida (5-2) vs Georgia (6-1) kicks off Sat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM ET on ABC from Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta (neutral site).

Florida vs Georgia odds at every book

Lines are from SportsbookReview's college football odds board for October 31 and cross-checked against Action Network's public betting page and the matchup pages at Covers and FanDuel, which agree on the favorite and the total. Georgia opened at -9.5 to -10 and is now -11.5 to -12.5, a move of 2.5 to 3 points toward the Bulldogs during the week, most of it after Florida listed both quarterbacks as questionable on Wednesday night. The total has not moved from 56.5. Action Network shows 62 percent of spread tickets on Florida at the bigger number. Our free plays for the weekend are posted on the free picks page.

Florida vs Georgia prediction from the odds

Our scoring-average projection is Georgia 36, Florida 28, a Georgia edge of about 8 on a neutral field, and the two teams' schedule strength is nearly identical so the adjustment is small. The Prediction Tracker average is Georgia by 10.6 (median 10.5, standard deviation 3.4) with Georgia covering in only 46.75 percent of model runs. Massey has Georgia by 13.7 and ESPN's FPI 13.0; Sagarin is at 8.7 and Billingsley 7.6. The models are split around the number, and our own figure sits 4 points below it.

How Florida and Georgia got here

Georgia was 6-0 with a 20-17 win at Alabama before Auburn beat the Bulldogs 27-24 in Athens on October 17, and the bye week followed. Florida has swung wildly: 52 points against Ole Miss, then 17 and 19 in losses to Missouri and South Carolina, then a 27-24 upset at Texas with Jones at quarterback. The game has moved from Jacksonville to Atlanta for 2026 and is a neutral site, so there is no home-field number in our projection.

Gunner Stockton vs Aaron Philo or Tramell Jones: the quarterback question that set the spread

Florida listed both Aaron Philo (shoulder) and Tramell Jones Jr. as questionable on the SEC availability report Wednesday night, with Duke Clark also questionable and Bailey Stockton doubtful (Saturday Down South, WRUF, October 29). Philo started the first six games and missed the 27-24 upset at Texas with a shoulder injury he suffered against South Carolina; Jones started in Austin and won. Jon Sumrall said Monday that both are available and that he would not name a starter. Whoever plays, Florida has scored 17 and 19 in its two SEC losses and 27 at Texas since the 52-point games against Ole Miss and Campbell.

Gunner Stockton is expected to play for Georgia after Kirby Smart called his shoulder injury against Auburn a stinger, not a concussion (DawgNation, 247Sports, October 20), and Georgia had its bye last week. Georgia's report lists KJ Bolden, Chauncey Bowens and Isiah Canion as questionable and Dante Dowdell out, so Dwight Phillips Jr. (348 rushing yards at 7.4 a carry) and Bo Walker carry the backfield as they did in the 20-17 win at Alabama. Georgia lost 27-24 to Auburn in its last game, its only loss.

Florida vs Georgia injury report

Statuses are from the conference availability reports and the outlets named in each row, as of Friday morning, October 30, 2026. The SEC report updates Thursday and Friday, and the final version comes out about 90 minutes before kickoff. Florida's quarterback is the only item here that moves the line.

Other Week 9 college football games we broke down: Arizona vs Texas Tech, Utah vs Cincinnati, Ohio State vs USC.

Florida vs Georgia questions people ask