Ligue 1 Title Odds 2026-27: PSG 90% With a Two-Point Lead
Paris Saint-Germain are the favorite to win Ligue 1 in 2026-27 at 90% on Kalshi as of November 10, 2026. PSG lead the table with 23 points from 10 matches, two clear of Lille and three clear of Paris FC, and no other club is priced above 3%.
Ligue 1 title odds as of November 10, 2026
| Club | Pts | Kalshi | Fair American |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 23 | 90% | -900 |
| Lille | 21 | 3% | +3233 |
| Paris FC | 20 | 3% | +3233 |
| Marseille | 18 | 2% | +4900 |
Kalshi prices are the last trades on November 10, 2026. The fair American column turns each percentage into odds with no margin, so a sportsbook will quote PSG shorter than -900. Trading below PSG is thin, so treat the 2% and 3% prices as rough.
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Points vs price: why a two-point lead is priced at 90%
Lille have 91% of PSG's points and about 3% of the title chance. The market is pricing the squads, not the table. PSG have won the Champions League two years running and are 4-0 in this season's league phase, including a 6-0 win at Villarreal.
The same pattern shows up in Germany, where Bayern Munich are 91% while level on points with Dortmund. Our Bundesliga title odds page has that race.
Ligue 1 table after Matchday 10
| Pos | Club | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 10 | 7-2-1 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6-3-1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6-2-2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 6-0-4 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5-2-3 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 5-2-3 | +3 | 17 |
PSG and Marseille share the best attack with 22 goals each. Lille have the best defense, with 7 conceded in 10 matches. Lille and PSG drew 2-2 when they met in Lille on August 28.
Ligue 1 title contenders
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG went top with a 2-0 win over Lyon and have lost once in 10 league matches. They are also second favorite for the Champions League at 19% on Kalshi, so the spring schedule will be crowded.
Lille
Lille have lost once all season and already took a point off PSG. They are the closest thing to a challenger on the table, and the market gives them 3%.
Paris FC and Marseille
Paris FC are third on 20 points in a surprise start. Marseille score as freely as PSG but have already lost four times.
For PSG's other title race, see our Champions League odds.