Premier League Title Odds 2026-27: Arsenal Lead by Five at the Break
Arsenal are the clear favorite to win the 2026-27 Premier League. As of November 10, 2026, bet365 has them at 1/3 (-300) and Polymarket gives them a 77% chance. They lead the table with 27 points from 10 matches, five clear of Brighton and six clear of Manchester City at the November international break.
Premier League title odds as of November 10, 2026
| Club | Pts | bet365 | American | Implied | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 27 | 1/3 | -300 | 75.0% | 77% |
| Manchester City | 21 | 7/1 | +700 | 12.5% | 7% |
| Brighton | 22 | 12/1 | +1200 | 7.7% | 7% |
| Liverpool | 18 | 14/1 | +1400 | 6.7% | 6% |
| Chelsea | 16 | 22/1 | +2200 | 4.3% | 2% |
| Tottenham | 12 | 66/1 | +6600 | 1.5% | 0.4% |
The bet365 prices are from the week of November 6, before Arsenal beat Hull City 1-0 and City lost 3-1 at Nottingham Forest. The Polymarket prices are as of 00:07 UTC on November 10. Implied probability includes the bookmaker margin, so the bet365 column adds up to more than 100%.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi's soccer contracts read as percentages and carry no margin built into the number, which makes them a quick check on the books. Our free plays for the NFL, college football and the NBA are on the free picks page.
Premier League table at the November international break
| Pos | Club | P | W-D-L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9-0-1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7-1-2 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7-0-3 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5-3-2 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5-1-4 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4-3-3 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3-5-2 | +5 | 14 |
Brighton have the best goal difference in the league at +19, scoring 26 and conceding 7. Arsenal have conceded only 5 goals in 10 matches. Crystal Palace are bottom with 7 points, and Manchester United sit 18th with 8.
How the Premier League title odds moved this season
Arsenal opened at +150 at BetMGM after winning the 2025-26 title, and were +125 before their first match, per VegasInsider. By the week before Matchweek 9 they were -250, and bet365 cut them again from 2/5 to 1/3 in early November.
Manchester City drifted from +333 to +500 at BetMGM over the same stretch. City were the only unbeaten team after five matches but then lost three league games in a row, to Aston Villa, Brighton and Nottingham Forest.
Premier League title contenders for 2026-27
Arsenal
Arsenal have won 9 of 10 and have the joint-best start in their Premier League history, per The Analyst. Their only loss was 3-0 at Brighton in September. Four of their wins have been 1-0, and their defense has allowed the fewest goals and the lowest expected goals in the league.
Brighton
Brighton are second after a 2-0 win over Brentford on November 8, their best top-flight start ever. They are also playing in the Conference League, which adds midweek games through the winter.
Manchester City
City are six points back after the loss at Forest. They were found guilty of breaches of the Premier League's financial rules and plan to appeal, so a points deduction is possible but not scheduled.
Liverpool
Liverpool are fourth on 18 points after a win at Crystal Palace on November 8. They host Manchester United on November 22.
Key Premier League dates before the new year
| Date | Match | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 21 | Manchester City vs Fulham | City return after three straight losses |
| Sun, Nov 22 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | Fourth place vs the club in 18th |
| Sun, Nov 29 | Arsenal vs Manchester City | 11:30 AM ET, the title race's biggest game so far |
For this week's American football slate, read our NFL Week 10 odds and injury report.