NBA MVP Odds 2026-27: Wembanyama Leads as SGA Chases a Three-Peat
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has won the last two MVP awards, and he still isn't the favorite to win the next one. That job belongs to Victor Wembanyama, who finished as a first-time MVP finalist last season and enters 2026-27 as the shortest price on the board at every major sportsbook. With opening night on October 20, here is the full NBA MVP odds board, what each price implies and what history says about the top of the market.
NBA MVP odds 2026-27: the full board
Prices below are from bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, Hard Rock Bet and BetRivers. The typical price is the middle of the six books, and the best price is the biggest payout available. Futures prices drift apart more than game lines do, so it pays to check several sportsbooks before you bet.
| Player | Typical | Best price | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | +200 | +210 | +175 to +210 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | +350 | +450 | +350 to +450 |
| Nikola Jokic | +500 | +550 | +450 to +550 |
| Luka Doncic | +600 | +600 | +500 to +600 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | +1150 | +1200 | +1000 to +1200 |
| Anthony Edwards | +1750 | +2000 | +1500 to +2000 |
| Jayson Tatum | +1900 | +2500 | +1500 to +2500 |
| Cade Cunningham | +2500 | +3000 | +2200 to +3000 |
| Jalen Brunson | +4000 | +5000 | +3500 to +5000 |
| Jaylen Brown | +8750 | +15000 | +5000 to +15000 |
| Donovan Mitchell | +8000 | +8000 | +6000 to +8000 |
| Tyrese Maxey | +10000 | +15000 | +5000 to +15000 |
| Cooper Flagg | +15000 | +20000 | +15000 to +20000 |
Can Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win three straight MVPs?
Only three players have won three MVP awards in a row: Bill Russell, Wilt Chamberlain and Larry Bird. Gilgeous-Alexander would be the fourth. Voters tend to look for a new story after a player has won twice, which is part of why the market has him second even though he is the reigning winner. At +350 at most books, he is priced at about a 22% chance. If you think voter fatigue is overblown, the best number is +450 at Caesars.
Why Wembanyama is the MVP favorite
Wembanyama's case is simple: he is the one player the market thinks can still get meaningfully better, and he already finished in the top three last season. At +200 he is priced at about a 33% chance, far ahead of anyone else. That price leaves little room for error. A Spurs slide in the standings or a stretch of missed games would push it out fast, because of the rule below.
The rest of the MVP contenders
Nikola Jokic (+450 to +550)
A three-time winner (2021, 2022 and 2024) and a finalist again last season, Jokic is the safest bet to post MVP-level numbers. The question is always whether voters will give it to him again when his numbers look like his usual numbers. At +500 he is priced near 17%.
Luka Doncic (+500 to +600)
Doncic is priced right with Jokic. He has the scoring volume voters like, and his range across books is one of the tightest on the board, which tells you the market is fairly confident in where he belongs.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (+1000 to +1200)
A two-time winner (2019 and 2020) sitting alone in the next tier. There is a clear drop after the top four, and Antetokounmpo is the first name below it.
Longer shots
Anthony Edwards (+1500 to +2000), Jayson Tatum (+1500 to +2500) and Cade Cunningham (+2200 to +3000) make up the next group. The widest disagreement on the board is Tyrese Maxey, priced at +5000 at Caesars and +15000 at BetMGM. Jaylen Brown has the same kind of split, +5000 to +15000. Gaps that big usually mean one book hasn't moved its number in a while, which is exactly where shopping pays off.
How to bet NBA MVP odds
MVP futures are a long ride. For something that settles tonight, check our daily free picks, or see our premium picks and packages, which come with our money-back guarantee paid in GSP Bucks. Rookie bettors should also see our NBA Rookie of the Year odds, and if you want to understand how these prices work, start with how to read betting odds.
NBA MVP questions
Who is the favorite to win NBA MVP in 2026-27?
Who won NBA MVP last season?
How many games do you need to play to win MVP?
Has anyone won three straight MVPs?
When is the MVP announced?
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