NBA Power Rankings Week 4 2026-27: Spurs Stay No. 1, Warriors Climb
The San Antonio Spurs stay No. 1 in our NBA power rankings for Week 4 at a +295 consensus title price, a 21.2% fair chance, as of Monday, November 9, 2026. The Oklahoma City Thunder are second at +475, and the 9-2 Philadelphia 76ers hold third at +775.
NBA power rankings Week 4 2026-27: all 30 teams by championship odds
| Rank | Team | Rec | Consensus | Best | Fair % | Kalshi | Poly | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | San Antonio Spurs | 8-2 | +295 | +300 | 21.2% | 20.1% | 20.4% | Same |
| 2. | Oklahoma City Thunder | 8-2 | +475 | +500 | 14.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | Same |
| 3. | Philadelphia 76ers | 9-2 | +775 | +800 | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | Same |
| 4. | Boston Celtics | 8-2 | +1,000 | +1,600 | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | Up 1 |
| 5. | New York Knicks | 5-4 | +1,000 | +1,000 | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | Down 1 |
| 6. | Houston Rockets | 7-3 | +1,400 | +1,500 | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | Same |
| 7. | Toronto Raptors | 5-4 | +1,600 | +2,200 | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | Same |
| 8. | Minnesota Timberwolves | 8-3 | +1,800 | +1,800 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | Same |
| 9. | Detroit Pistons | 6-3 | +2,200 | +2,200 | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | Same |
| 10. | Denver Nuggets | 5-3 | +2,500 | +3,000 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | Up 1 |
| 11. | Los Angeles Lakers | 9-2 | +2,500 | +2,500 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | Down 1 |
| 12. | Cleveland Cavaliers | 5-5 | +3,250 | +4,000 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | Same |
| 13. | Portland Trail Blazers | 6-3 | +3,750 | +5,000 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2% | Same |
| 14. | Golden State Warriors | 7-3 | +4,000 | +5,000 | 2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | Up 3 |
| 15. | Indiana Pacers | 3-7 | +4,500 | +5,000 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | Down 1 |
| 16. | Miami Heat | 4-6 | +5,000 | +5,000 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | Down 1 |
| 17. | Atlanta Hawks | 7-4 | +7,500 | +8,000 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1% | Down 1 |
| 18. | Orlando Magic | 2-7 | +10,000 | +12,500 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | Same |
| 19. | Memphis Grizzlies | 6-3 | +15,000 | +20,000 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | Up 1 |
| 20. | Dallas Mavericks | 6-4 | +20,000 | +20,000 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | Up 1 |
| 21. | Charlotte Hornets | 3-7 | +20,000 | +20,000 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | Down 2 |
| 22. | Phoenix Suns | 3-5 | +32,500 | +35,000 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | Same |
| 23. | Washington Wizards | 4-6 | +40,000 | +50,000 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | Same |
| 24. | Utah Jazz | 1-9 | +77,500 | +100,000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | Same |
| 25. | New Orleans Pelicans | 4-6 | +87,500 | +100,000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | Up 1 |
| 26. | Los Angeles Clippers | 2-7 | +100,000 | +100,000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0% | Up 1 |
| 27. | Brooklyn Nets | 2-8 | +100,000 | +100,000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0% | Up 1 |
| 28. | Chicago Bulls | 1-8 | +100,000 | +100,000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0% | Down 3 |
| 29. | Milwaukee Bucks | 1-9 | +100,000 | +100,000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0% | Same |
| 30. | Sacramento Kings | 1-9 | +100,000 | +100,000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0% | Same |
Prices come from VegasInsider's live NBA title board, read book by book Monday morning. A fifth column on that board disagreed with the other four by wide margins (Thunder +260, 76ers +2,500), so we left it out. Kalshi and Polymarket are Monday-morning midpoints with the margin removed.
Records are through Sunday, November 8, from the CBS Sports standings, matched against FOX Sports. Our free NBA plays are on the free picks page.
Tier 1: the Spurs and Thunder (1 and 2)
1. San Antonio Spurs (8-2, +295). San Antonio holds the top spot for another week at +280 to +300, drifting slightly from +285. Kalshi and Polymarket agree at about 20%.
2. Oklahoma City Thunder (8-2, +475). Oklahoma City is +450 to +500, close to last week's +450, and the only other team above a 10% fair chance.
Tier 2: the East contenders and Houston (3 to 8)
3. Philadelphia 76ers (9-2, +775). Philadelphia shortened from +825 and is the East favorite. The prediction markets like the 76ers more than the books do, at 10.7% on Kalshi and 12.7% on Polymarket.
4. Boston Celtics (8-2, +1,000) and 5. New York Knicks (5-4, +1,000) share a +1,000 median. Boston moves ahead on its best price of +1,600 and its 8-2 record, while the 5-4 Knicks drop a spot.
6. Houston Rockets (7-3, +1,400), 7. Toronto Raptors (5-4, +1,600) and 8. Minnesota Timberwolves (8-3, +1,800) hold their places. Minnesota's books range from +1,200 to +1,800.
Tier 3: playoff teams (9 to 14)
9. Detroit Pistons (6-3, +2,200) shortened from +2,500. 10. Denver Nuggets (5-3, +2,500) and 11. Los Angeles Lakers (9-2, +2,500) share a +2,500 median; Denver ranks ahead on its best price of +3,000, even though the Lakers have the better record.
12. Cleveland Cavaliers (5-5, +3,250) and 13. Portland Trail Blazers (6-3, +3,750) hold their spots. 14. Golden State Warriors (7-3, +4,000) is the biggest riser on the board, up three places from +7,500. Kalshi rates Golden State at 5.1%, more than twice the books' 2.0%.
Tiers 4 and 5: the play-in race and the long shots
15. Indiana Pacers (3-7, +4,500), 16. Miami Heat (4-6, +5,000), 17. Atlanta Hawks (7-4, +7,500) and 18. Orlando Magic (2-7, +10,000) each slipped a spot or held. The Hawks are 7-4 but drifted from +6,000 to +7,500.
19. Memphis Grizzlies (6-3, +15,000) and 20. Dallas Mavericks (6-4, +20,000) moved up one spot each. The Hornets, Suns, Wizards, Jazz and Pelicans fill 21 to 25, and the Clippers, Nets, Bulls, Bucks and Kings sit at +90,000 or longer. The Bulls (1-8) dropped three spots.
Why the NBA market rankings differ from the standings
The Lakers are 9-2 and rank 11th, while the 5-4 Knicks rank fifth. Ten games into an 82-game season, the books lean on roster strength and last season more than the early record.
For the full book-by-book board, see our NBA championship odds page. Kalshi's NBA title market lets you sell a position before the Finals if a team gets hot. The MVP race is on our NBA MVP odds page. For player markets, start with our guide to NBA player props.