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Seahawks vs Broncos Prediction and Odds: Thursday Night Football in Denver

Seahawks vs Broncos Prediction and Odds: Thursday Night Football in Denver

The Seattle Seahawks are 2.5 to 3-point road favorites over the Denver Broncos for Thursday Night Football in Week 6, as of Monday night, October 12, 2026. The total sits at 41 to 41.5, and the market's implied final is Seahawks 22, Broncos 19.5. Both teams are 3-2, both lost to the 49ers in the last two weeks, and Seattle has won the last three meetings.

Where the line stands
Using the 41.5 total and Seahawks -2.5, the implied final is Seahawks 22, Broncos 19.5. With the margin removed, the DraftKings moneylines (Seahawks -148, Broncos +124) give the Seahawks a 57.2% chance to win, as of Monday night, October 12, 2026. This is a read of the prices, not a handicapped pick.
SEA -2.5
Spread at most books
Opened -2; -3 at bet365, -3.5 at BetRivers
41.5
Total at DraftKings
Opened 42; 41 at five books
57.2%
Seahawks win chance
No-vig, DraftKings
5,280 ft
Mile High altitude
Empower Field, Denver

Seahawks vs Broncos odds at every book

Here is the board for the Seattle Seahawks at the Denver Broncos on Thursday, October 15, 2026, at 8:15 PM ET on Prime Video, as of Monday night, October 12, 2026, from SportsbookReview's odds screen and checked against ScoresAndOdds. Seattle opened a 2-point favorite on SportsbookReview. Compare the books where you have accounts on our sportsbooks page or watch the board move on live betting odds.

Seahawks at Broncos odds by book, as of Monday night, October 12, 2026
BookSpreadMoneyline (SEA / DEN)Total
BetMGMSeahawks -2.5 (-130)-155 / +13041
bet365Seahawks -3 (-105)-157 / +13241
DraftKingsSeahawks -2.5 (-128)-148 / +12441.5
FanDuelSeahawks -2.5 (-130)-156 / +13241.5
FanaticsSeahawks -2.5 (-125)-155 / +13041
BetRiversSeahawks -3.5 (+100)-162 / +13041
CaesarsSeahawks -2.5 (-137)-157 / +13241

Look at the price on the 2.5. Most books charge -125 to -137 to lay Seahawks -2.5, which tells you the market sits right on top of 3, the most common margin in the NFL. If you like Seattle, -2.5 at a higher price and -3 at -105 (bet365) are close to the same bet; if you like Denver, +3.5 at BetRivers is the best number on the board. Our guide to key numbers explains why that half point matters.

Seahawks vs Broncos prediction from the betting odds

1
Start with the total
The consensus total is 41.5 points.
2
Add the spread for the favorite
41.5 plus the Seahawks's 2.5 is 44, and half of that is 22 for the Seahawks.
3
Subtract for the underdog
41.5 minus 22 leaves 19.5 for the Broncos.
4
Check it against the moneyline
At DraftKings, Seahawks -148 and Broncos +124 work out to 57.2% and 42.8% once the margin is removed.

So the market expects about a field goal game: Seahawks 22, Broncos 19.5, with Seattle winning a little more than 57% of the time. The total came down a point from the 42 opener, which fits a Denver offense that has averaged 19.4 points a game and managed 224 yards against the 0-5 Chargers on Sunday.

How the Seahawks and Broncos got here

Seattle, the defending Super Bowl champion, beat New England 13-10 in the opener, won 31-7 at Arizona, lost a 33-31 shootout at Washington, beat the Chargers 30-23 and then lost 32-29 at home to unbeaten San Francisco on Sunday. Denver lost 31-10 at Kansas City in Week 1, beat Jacksonville and the Rams at home, lost 24-14 at San Francisco, then won 23-17 at the Chargers.

WeekSeahawksBroncos
1W 13-10 vs PatriotsL 10-31 at Chiefs
2W 31-7 at CardinalsW 20-13 vs Jaguars
3L 31-33 at CommandersW 30-26 vs Rams
4W 30-23 vs ChargersL 14-24 at 49ers
5L 29-32 vs 49ersW 23-17 at Chargers
26.8
Seahawks points per game
134 scored, 105 allowed (+29)
19.4
Broncos points per game
97 scored, 111 allowed (-14)
2-0
Denver at home
Jaguars and Rams
3
Straight Seattle wins in the series
2018 was Denver's last

The scoring gap is the story of the numbers: Seattle is +29 in point differential and Denver is -14, with the Broncos' two home wins coming by 7 and 4 points. Sam Darnold has started the last three games after missing Week 2 with a hip injury. For Denver, Sean Payton has taken play-calling back from first-year coordinator Davis Webb after a 1-of-12 day on third down in Los Angeles, though the Broncos' defense sacked Justin Herbert five times in that win.

Seahawks vs Broncos injury report

Both teams play on a short week, so the first injury report came out Monday and it was an estimate, with no practice held. The biggest names are in Denver's secondary: cornerback Patrick Surtain II (ankle) missed Week 5 and did not practice, and safety Talanoa Hufanga (ankle) left Sunday's game. For Seattle, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (ankle) was added as limited after finishing Sunday's game, and coach Mike Macdonald said running back Zach Charbonnet, still on the PUP list, is unlikely to play. Game statuses come out Wednesday.

Reported status as of Monday night, October 12, 2026. Official game statuses come later in the week
PlayerTeamPosStatus
Patrick Surtain IIDENCBAnkle. Did not practice Mon (est.), missed Week 5
Talanoa HufangaDENSAnkle. Did not practice Mon (est.), left Week 5
Riley MossDENCBRibs. Limited Mon (est.), missed Week 5
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWRAnkle. Limited Mon (est.), new to report
Drake ThomasSEALBAnkle. Did not practice Mon (est.)
Chazz SurrattSEALBCalf. Did not practice Mon (est.), missed two games
Zach CharbonnetSEARBKnee (PUP). Limited; coach called him unlikely

Seahawks vs Broncos head-to-head

Seattle has won the last three meetings, including two one-score games in Seattle in 2022 and 2024. Denver still leads the all-time series 35-23, but its last win came in 2018 at Mile High.

DateSiteResult
Sep 8, 2024SeattleSeahawks 26, Broncos 20
Sep 12, 2022SeattleSeahawks 17, Broncos 16
Sep 9, 2018DenverBroncos 27, Seahawks 24
Feb 2, 2014Super Bowl XLVIIISeahawks 43, Broncos 8
Market read, not a pick
Everything above is what the betting market thinks. If Guaranteed Sport Picks releases a handicapped side on Seahawks vs Broncos, it goes on the premium picks page with Pay After You Win: you are charged only if the pick wins. Free plays are on free picks, and every other game is in our NFL Week 6 preview.

Seahawks vs Broncos questions

Who is favored in Seahawks vs Broncos?+
The Seattle Seahawks are 2.5-point road favorites at most books as of Monday night, October 12, 2026, with -3 at bet365 and -3.5 at BetRivers. Seattle opened at -2.
What is the Seahawks vs Broncos prediction from the odds?+
The spread and total imply a final of Seahawks 22, Broncos 19.5, and the DraftKings moneylines give Seattle a 57.2% chance to win with the margin removed. That is a market read, not a handicapped pick.
What is the total for Seahawks vs Broncos?+
The total is 41 at most books and 41.5 at DraftKings and FanDuel, down from a 42 opener on SportsbookReview.
What time is Seahawks vs Broncos on Thursday Night Football?+
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, October 15, 2026, at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, streaming on Prime Video.
Is Patrick Surtain II playing against the Seahawks?+
Surtain (ankle) missed Week 5 and was listed as not practicing on Monday's estimated report. His game status comes out Wednesday, so check before you bet.
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