Heisman Odds 2026: CJ Carr Takes the Lead After Notre Dame Beats Miami
CJ Carr is the new Heisman favorite through Saturday's games, as of Sunday morning, November 8, 2026. The Notre Dame quarterback is at 28 to 30 cents on Kalshi, about a 29% chance, and +110 to +150 at the sportsbooks after throwing for 319 yards and three touchdowns in a 31-24 win over No. 1 Miami.
Darian Mensah slipped to second at about 24.5% after Miami's first loss. Jeremiah Smith sits third at about 22.5% after Ohio State lost 41-28 to Oregon, and Malachi Toney is off the board after ankle surgery.
Malachi Toney is off the board at BetMGM and FanDuel after ankle surgery. The Heisman is awarded on Saturday, December 12.
Heisman odds 2026: the board after Week 10
The table is our own cross-book snapshot as of Sunday morning, November 8, 2026. The BetMGM column is the Sunday morning board reported by SportsBettingDime at 7:55 AM ET, and the FanDuel column is the Saturday night board reported by Bleacher Report.
The bet365 and Caesars columns are VegasInsider's Heisman board stamped November 7, which can lag the other two by a few hours. The Kalshi column is the live bid and ask on Sunday morning, next to our November 1 snapshot.
We left DraftKings out again. Its column on VegasInsider still showed CJ Carr at +1100 and Trinidad Chambliss at +1300 while every other book had Carr near +120, so it was not a live price.
| Player | BetMGM | FanDuel | bet365 | Caesars | Kalshi Nov. 8 | Kalshi Nov. 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Carr, Notre Dame QB | +120 | +110 | +140 | +120 | 28 to 30¢ | 6 to 7¢ |
| Darian Mensah, Miami QB | +350 | +500 | +280 | +400 | 24 to 25¢ | 33 to 36¢ |
| Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State WR | +400 | +410 | +360 | +380 | 22 to 23¢ | 22 to 23¢ |
| Devon Dampier, Utah QB | +1500 | +1400 | n/a | n/a | 5 to 6¢ | 1 to 2¢ |
| Drew Mestemaker, Oklahoma State QB | +2000 | +1900 | n/a | n/a | 5 to 6¢ | 1 to 3¢ |
| Gunner Stockton, Georgia QB | +1500 | +1400 | +2200 | +1600 | 3 to 4¢ | 1¢ or less |
| Keelon Russell, Alabama QB | +2000 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 | 2 to 3¢ | 1¢ or less |
| Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss QB | +4000 | +4000 | +4500 | +4500 | 0 to 1¢ | 5 to 6¢ |
| LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina QB | n/a | +4500 | +5000 | +6000 | 1 to 2¢ | n/a |
| Sam Leavitt, LSU QB | +10000 | n/a | +15000 | +10000 | 0 to 1¢ | 0 to 2¢ |
| Malachi Toney, Miami WR | off the board | off the board | n/a | n/a | 0 to 1¢ | 19 to 20¢ |
| Jayden Maiava, USC QB | +30000 | +12500 | +20000 | +20000 | 0 to 1¢ | 1¢ or less |
A Heisman board lists only part of the field, so the books' margin cannot be removed the way it can on a two-team game. Kalshi is the cleaner read this week, because Polymarket's 2026 Heisman market carried no live prices on Sunday morning.
You can follow the live Kalshi Heisman market directly, and our guide to Kalshi and Polymarket prices explains how to turn cents into odds.
Who moved in the Heisman odds after Week 10
| Player | Kalshi Nov. 1 | Kalshi Nov. 8 | Saturday, Nov. 7 |
|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Carr | 6 to 7¢ | 28 to 30¢ | 29 of 40, 319 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT in a 31-24 win over No. 1 Miami |
| Darian Mensah | 33 to 36¢ | 24 to 25¢ | 24 of 43, 3 TD, 1 INT in the 31-24 loss at Notre Dame |
| Jeremiah Smith | 22 to 23¢ | 22 to 23¢ | 7 catches, 133 yds, 1 TD in a 41-28 loss to Oregon |
| Devon Dampier | 1 to 2¢ | 5 to 6¢ | 177 pass yds, 2 TD, plus 89 rush yds and 2 TD in a 28-20 win over BYU |
| Drew Mestemaker | 1 to 3¢ | 5 to 6¢ | 22 of 28, 313 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, plus a rushing TD in a 66-28 win at Kansas State |
| Gunner Stockton | 1¢ or less | 3 to 4¢ | 9 of 15, 186 yds, 4 TD, plus a rushing TD in a 42-7 win at Ole Miss |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 5 to 6¢ | 0 to 1¢ | 18 of 34, 170 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT in the 42-7 loss to Georgia |
| Malachi Toney | 19 to 20¢ | 0 to 1¢ | Did not play; ankle surgery, out 4 to 6 weeks |
CJ Carr Heisman odds: why Notre Dame's quarterback took the lead
CJ Carr went 29 of 40 for 319 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions as Notre Dame beat Miami 31-24 on Saturday, per the CBS Sports and FOX Sports box scores. It was Miami's first loss, and Notre Dame is 8-1.
Carr's Kalshi price rose from 6 to 7 cents a week ago to 28 to 30 cents. BetMGM had him at +1200 on November 1 and opened Sunday at +120, and FanDuel went to +110.
Notre Dame hosts Boston College on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on NBC as a 30.5 to 31.5 point favorite. That is a blowout spot where voters watch the stat line, not the result.
Darian Mensah Heisman odds: the loss in South Bend cost him the lead
Darian Mensah went 24 of 43 with three touchdowns and an interception in the loss at Notre Dame, per the CBS Sports box score and the Associated Press recap. He played without Malachi Toney.
The two box scores we checked disagree on his passing yards, 302 at CBS Sports and 276 at FOX Sports, so we leave the yardage out until the official book settles it.
Mensah's Kalshi price fell from 33 to 36 cents a week ago to 24 to 25 cents, and BetMGM moved him from +150 to +350. Miami is 8-1 and hosts Duke at noon ET on Saturday as a 13.5 to 15.5 point favorite.
Jeremiah Smith Heisman odds: a 133-yard game in a third loss
Jeremiah Smith caught seven passes for 133 yards and a touchdown in Ohio State's 41-28 loss to Oregon, per the CBS Sports and FOX Sports box scores. Freshman Luke Fahey threw for 360 yards with Julian Sayin still out.
Ohio State is 6-3. Ryan Day said after the game that losing three games is unacceptable and that he owns it, per Bleacher Report.
Smith's Kalshi price climbed to about 39 cents during the week, then fell back to 22 to 23 cents after the loss, right where it sat a week ago. The books have him at +320 to +410.
A receiver on a three-loss team needs a run of huge games, starting against Northwestern at noon ET on Saturday, where Ohio State is a 10.5-point favorite. Our national championship odds show what the loss did to Ohio State's title price.
Devon Dampier and Drew Mestemaker: the new names on the board
Devon Dampier threw for 177 yards and two touchdowns and ran 20 times for 89 yards and two more scores as Utah beat BYU 28-20, per the FOX Sports box score and the Associated Press recap. Utah is 9-0.
Dampier is 5 to 6 cents on Kalshi and +1400 to +1500 at BetMGM and FanDuel. Utah plays at Arizona on Saturday, with the kickoff time still to be announced by the Big 12.
Drew Mestemaker went 22 of 28 for 313 yards and four touchdowns, plus a rushing score, in Oklahoma State's 66-28 win at Kansas State, per the CBS Sports box score and the AP recap. He is also 5 to 6 cents on Kalshi.
The books have him at +1900 to +2000. Oklahoma State is 6-3, which caps how far a quarterback on a three-loss team can climb, and it hosts Texas Tech on Saturday.
Gunner Stockton, Keelon Russell and the rest of the Heisman field
Gunner Stockton went 9 of 15 for 186 yards and four touchdowns and added a rushing score in Georgia's 42-7 win at Ole Miss, per the CBS Sports box score and the AP recap. He is +1400 to +1500 at BetMGM and FanDuel.
Keelon Russell threw for 206 yards and three touchdowns in Alabama's 31-13 win at LSU, per the CBS Sports and FOX Sports box scores. He hurt his left ankle in the third quarter, returned, and called it not a big injury afterward. He is +2000 to +2500.
Trinidad Chambliss had the worst day of the contenders: 18 of 34 for 170 yards with no touchdowns and an interception in the blowout loss to Georgia. His Kalshi price fell from 5 to 6 cents to under a cent.
Sam Leavitt threw for 380 yards without a touchdown in LSU's loss and is also under a cent on Kalshi. Malachi Toney had ankle surgery after a practice injury on Wednesday and is expected to miss 4 to 6 weeks, per the Associated Press.
Our free plays for Saturday are posted on the free picks page, and the full Week 11 lines, including USC at Indiana and Texas at LSU, are in our college football Week 11 preview.
How to read Heisman Trophy odds
A price of +120 means a $100 bet returns $120 in profit if the player wins, which implies about a 45% chance before the book's margin. A Kalshi price of 29 cents means the market gives the player about a 29% chance.
Award futures tie up money until December, so most bettors who play them shop the price across books. Our futures betting guide covers how these markets work, and the sportsbooks page lists where to compare prices.