Michigan vs Oregon Prediction and Odds: Ducks -10.5, Total 38.5
Oregon is a 10.5-point favorite over Michigan at all seven books on SportsbookReview as of Friday morning, November 13, 2026, with the total at 38.5. That points to a final near Oregon 24.5, Michigan 14. Kickoff is Saturday at 3:30 PM ET from Autzen Stadium in Eugene.
Michigan's quarterback job is open again. Coach Kyle Whittingham reopened the competition after a 15-6 loss to Michigan State, per Field Level Media, a week after saying Tommy Carr would stay the starter.
Michigan vs Oregon odds at every book
| Book | Spread | Moneyline (MICH / ORE) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +333 / -426 | 38.5 |
| bet365 | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +340 / -440 | 38.5 |
| DraftKings | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +330 / -425 | 38.5 |
| FanDuel | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +320 / -410 | 38.5 |
| Fanatics | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +325 / -425 | 38.5 |
| BetRivers | ORE -10.5 (-106) | +310 / -420 | 39.5 |
| Caesars | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +340 / -441 | 38.5 |
Every book has Oregon at -10.5, and VegasInsider's consensus board matches. BetRivers has the cheapest Oregon price at -106 and the only 39.5 total; bet365 and Caesars have the best Michigan moneyline at +340.
The spread opened at Oregon -11 on SportsbookReview, so the market has barely moved. Lines move, so check the number before you bet.
Michigan vs Oregon prediction from the odds
That gives the market's prediction as Oregon 24.5, Michigan 14. Oregon scores 36.9 points per game and Michigan 27.5, per FOX Sports, so the low total reflects both defenses and Michigan's offense of late.
| Source | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Market | Oregon by 10.5 | 38.5 |
| Prediction Tracker median | Oregon by 14 (std dev 3.4) | Not listed |
| Massey Ratings | Oregon 28, Michigan 17 | 45 |
The tracker median is three and a half points above the line and Massey is half a point above it, so the two systems agree on direction but not on size. Massey also projects 45 points against a 38.5 total.
How Michigan and Oregon got here
Michigan is 5-4 and lost 15-6 to Michigan State, its first loss without allowing a touchdown since 1985, per Field Level Media. Carr has thrown for 641 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions.
Oregon is 6-3. The Ducks allow 17.9 points per game and 157.9 passing yards per game, per FOX Sports, which matches up with a Michigan passing game that averages 186.8 yards.
Michigan vs Oregon injury report
| Player | Team | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan starting QB | Michigan | Not named; competition reopened (Field Level Media) |
The Big Ten availability reports for Saturday were not posted when we checked on Friday morning, November 13. The key item is who starts at quarterback for Michigan, so recheck before kickoff.
No lean on this game.
Our projection is Oregon by about 12.5, between Massey's 11 and the tracker's 14. That would be lean territory on Oregon -10.5.
We are not posting it, because Michigan has not named a starting quarterback and we do not lean on a game with an unsettled starter. Both teams are coming off games on November 7.
We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. Our free plays are on the free picks page, and our full card is on premium picks.
For the full Saturday board, see our college football Week 11 preview. Other games we broke down this week: USC vs Indiana, Texas vs LSU and Missouri vs Georgia.