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Missouri vs Georgia Prediction and Odds: Our Lean Is Georgia -15.5

Missouri vs Georgia Prediction and Odds: Our Lean Is Georgia -15.5

Georgia is a 15.5 to 16.5-point favorite over Missouri at seven books on SportsbookReview as of Friday morning, November 13, 2026, with the total at 47.5. Using Georgia -16, the odds point to about Georgia 31.5, Missouri 16. Kickoff is Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on ABC from Sanford Stadium.

Our lean is Georgia -15.5. The Prediction Tracker median has Georgia by 17.4 and Massey Ratings has Georgia by 20, so both systems sit above the lowest number on the board.

The short version
Georgia -15.5 to -16.5 (opened -14), total 47.5, Georgia -750 and Missouri +525 at DraftKings. Our lean: Georgia -15.5 at FanDuel, and only at 15.5, not 16.5.
-16
Georgia spread
Opened -14
47.5
Total
FanDuel 48.5
85%
Georgia win chance
No-vig, DraftKings
-15.5
Our lean
Georgia, FanDuel -110

Missouri vs Georgia odds at every book

Sat, Nov 14 Β· 3:30 PM ETABC
Missouri
Away
@
Georgia
Sanford Stadium
Spread
UGA -15.5 to -16.5
Opened -14
Moneyline
UGA -750
MIZ +525 (DraftKings)
Total
47.5
Opened 47.5
Missouri 15.3%Win probability, vig removedGeorgia 84.7%
Odds by book, as of Friday, Nov. 13, 2026, 11 AM ET (SportsbookReview)
BookSpreadMoneyline (MIZ / UGA)Total
BetMGMUGA -15.5 (-118)+525 / -69947.5
bet365UGA -16.5 (-109)+550 / -80047.5
DraftKingsUGA -16.5 (-108)+525 / -75047.5
FanDuelUGA -15.5 (-110)+530 / -75048.5
FanaticsUGA -16.5 (-110)+525 / -75047.5
BetRiversUGA -15.5 (-112)+540 / -90947.5
CaesarsUGA -14.5 (-119)+500 / -75247.5

The board is split between 15.5 and 16.5, with Caesars alone at 14.5 at a heavier -119 price. VegasInsider's consensus board shows 15.5 to 16.5 as well. FanDuel at -15.5 -110 is the best Georgia number at a standard price.

The spread opened at Georgia -14 on SportsbookReview and has moved a point and a half to two and a half toward Georgia. Lines move, so check the number before you bet.

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Missouri vs Georgia prediction from the odds

1
Start with the total
47.5 points at six of seven books.
2
Add the spread for Georgia
Using Georgia -16: 47.5 plus 16 is 63.5, and half of that is about 31.5.
3
Subtract it for Missouri
47.5 minus 16 is 31.5, and half of that is about 16.
4
Check the moneyline
Georgia -750 and Missouri +525 at DraftKings work out to about 85% and 15% with the margin removed.

That gives the market's prediction as Georgia 31.5, Missouri 16. Our projection is Georgia by about 18.5, a little more than the market.

Market vs the rating systems
SourceMarginTotal
MarketGeorgia by 15.5 to 16.547.5
Prediction Tracker medianGeorgia by 17.4 (std dev 2.9)Not listed
Massey RatingsGeorgia 35, Missouri 1550

Both systems clear the 15.5 number, by about two points for the tracker and four and a half for Massey. That is lean territory, not a full pick, because the cushion is under four points against the consensus.

How Missouri and Georgia got here

Georgia is 8-1 and beat Ole Miss 42-7 in Oxford on November 7, per the AJC. Coach Kirby Smart said cornerback Ellis Robinson was dealing with a thigh or hip injury after that game.

Missouri is 6-3 after a loss its last time out, per FOX Sports' SEC standings. The Tigers have forced 12 fumbles this season, sixth in the country, while Georgia leads the nation with 18 fumble recoveries, per FOX Sports.

Missouri vs Georgia injury report

PlayerTeamStatus
Ellis Robinson, CBGeorgiaLeg; listed by AJC Monday
Craig Dandridge, WRGeorgiaHamstring; listed by AJC Monday
Josh Horton, DTGeorgiaLeg; listed by AJC Monday
Chauncey Bowens, RBGeorgiaFoot; listed by AJC Monday

These are the Georgia players the AJC listed entering game week. The SEC availability reports update each night through Saturday, so check the final one before kickoff. We found no report of a quarterback designation for either team as of Friday morning, November 13.

Our lean

LEAN: Missouri @ Georgia, Georgia -15.5 (-110) at FanDuel, as of Nov. 13, 2026, 11 AM ET.

Why: the Prediction Tracker median (17.4) and Massey (20) both sit above 15.5, and the line has moved our way from 14. Main risk: a big number in a conference game, where a late Missouri score can cover.

Situation: Georgia is at home after a 42-7 road win; Missouri comes in off a loss. We would pass at 16.5, so shop for 15.5.

This lean is a free editorial read and is not counted in our official win/loss record. We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. Our free plays are on the free picks page, and our full card is on premium picks.

For the full Saturday board, see our college football Week 11 preview. Other games we broke down this week: USC vs Indiana, Texas vs LSU and Michigan vs Oregon.

Missouri vs Georgia questions

Who is favored in Missouri vs Georgia?+
Georgia is a 15.5 to 16.5-point favorite as of November 13, 2026, with a -750 moneyline at DraftKings.
What is the Missouri vs Georgia prediction?+
The odds imply about Georgia 31.5, Missouri 16. Our lean is Georgia -15.5, since both rating systems we track project a margin above that number.
What is the Missouri vs Georgia over/under?+
The total is 47.5 at six of seven books, with FanDuel at 48.5. Massey Ratings projects 50 points.
What time is Missouri vs Georgia and what channel is it on?+
Kickoff is 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, on ABC from Sanford Stadium in Athens.
How much has the Missouri vs Georgia line moved?+
It opened at Georgia -14 on SportsbookReview and sits at 15.5 to 16.5 now, with Caesars the outlier at 14.5.
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