MLS Cup Odds 2026: Nashville Favored After Record Season
Nashville SC are the favorite to win MLS Cup 2026 at 24% on Kalshi as of November 10, 2026, ahead of the Vancouver Whitecaps at 18% and defending champion Inter Miami at 16%. Nashville set the MLS single-season points record with 77 points and won their first Supporters' Shield.
The playoffs start with the Wild Card matches on November 19, and MLS Cup is Friday, December 18.
MLS Cup 2026 odds as of November 10
| Club | Seed | Kalshi | Fair American |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | East 1 | 24% | +317 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | West 1 | 18% | +456 |
| Inter Miami | East 2 | 16% | +525 |
| Philadelphia Union | East 6 | 7% | +1329 |
| St. Louis City SC | West 3 | 7% | +1329 |
| FC Dallas | West 2 | 6% | +1567 |
| Chicago Fire | East 4 | 5% | +1900 |
| New England Revolution | East 3 | 4% | +2400 |
| LAFC | West 6 | 4% | +2400 |
| Houston Dynamo | West 5 | 3% | +3233 |
Kalshi prices are the last traded price on November 10, 2026. The fair American column is the same percentage turned into odds with no margin, so a sportsbook price will be a little shorter. Every other club in the field is at 3% or less.
Before Decision Day, the sportsbook board quoted by Bleacher Report on October 21 had Vancouver +370, Nashville +470 and Inter Miami +550. Nashville passing Vancouver came with the points record and the Shield. You can trade the same market on Kalshi or Polymarket.
2026 MLS Cup playoff bracket
| Round One (best of 3) | Game 1 |
|---|---|
| East: (1) Nashville vs Wild Card winner | Sun, Nov 22, 4 PM ET |
| East: (2) Inter Miami vs (7) Columbus Crew | Sat, Nov 21, 6 PM ET |
| East: (3) New England vs (6) Philadelphia | Sat, Nov 21, 2 PM ET |
| East: (4) Chicago Fire vs (5) Charlotte FC | Sun, Nov 22, 6:30 PM ET |
| West: (1) Vancouver vs Wild Card winner | Sun, Nov 22, 8:30 PM ET |
| West: (2) FC Dallas vs (7) Portland Timbers | Sat, Nov 21, 4 PM ET |
| West: (3) St. Louis City vs (6) LAFC | Mon, Nov 23, 8 PM ET |
| West: (4) San Jose vs (5) Houston Dynamo | Tue, Nov 24, 10 PM ET |
The Wild Card matches are single games on Thursday, November 19: (8) Orlando City hosts (9) FC Cincinnati at 7:30 PM ET, and (8) Seattle Sounders host (9) Real Salt Lake at 10 PM ET. Every Round One series that needs a Game 3 plays it on Wednesday, December 2.
MLS Cup playoff schedule
| Round | Dates | Format |
|---|---|---|
| Wild Card | Thu, Nov 19 | Single match, 8 vs 9 |
| Round One | Nov 20 to Dec 2 | Best of 3 |
| Conference Semifinals | Dec 5 to 6 | Single match |
| Conference Finals | Dec 11 to 12 | Single match |
| MLS Cup | Fri, Dec 18 | Single match, better record hosts |
Every playoff match streams on Apple TV. MLS Cup also airs on FOX and FOX Deportes in the U.S. The finalist with the better regular-season record hosts, which is why the Supporters' Shield matters in December.
MLS Cup contenders
Nashville SC
Nashville finished with 77 points, breaking the record of 74 that Inter Miami set in 2024. They beat FC Cincinnati 2-0 on Decision Day to get there. As the overall No. 1 they would host every round, including MLS Cup.
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver won the West with a club-record 64 points after a 2-0 win over Montreal on Decision Day. They lost MLS Cup 2025 to Inter Miami 3-1.
Inter Miami
The defending champions are the East No. 2 seed. A run back to the final probably goes through Nashville in the conference final, in Nashville.
For the big games on this weekend's football slate, start with our NFL Week 10 odds and injury report.