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UCLA vs Oregon Prediction and Odds: Ducks -11.5 With Dante Moore in Question

UCLA vs Oregon Prediction and Odds: Ducks -11.5 With Dante Moore in Question

No. 13 Oregon is an 11.5-point favorite over No. 21 UCLA at Autzen Stadium, with a total of 59.5, as of Tuesday morning, October 6, 2026. That turns into a market prediction of Oregon 35.5, UCLA 24. The catch: Oregon quarterback Dante Moore is working back from a concussion, and his status for Saturday has not been announced.

Where the price sits
Five of seven books have Oregon -11.5 (Fanatics and BetRivers are -12.5), down from an Oregon -13 opener on SportsbookReview's board. DraftKings has Oregon -470 and UCLA +360 on the moneyline, which works out to Oregon 79.1% and UCLA 20.9% with the margin removed, as of October 6, 2026, about 9 AM ET. A market read, not a pick.
ORE -11.5
Consensus spread
Opened -13
79.1%
Oregon win chance
No-vig, DraftKings
44.8
UCLA points per game
4-0 under Bob Chesney
5
Straight Oregon wins
In the series since 2018

UCLA vs Oregon odds at every book

UCLA at Oregon kicks off Saturday, October 10, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET on CBS. These are the lines on SportsbookReview's board as of Tuesday, October 6, about 9 AM ET, cross-checked against FOX Sports and CBS Sports (both Oregon -11.5, total 59.5). Compare prices on our sportsbooks page.

BookSpreadMoneyline (UCLA / ORE)Total
BetMGMORE -11.5+360 / -45059.5
bet365ORE -11.5+350 / -45059.5
DraftKingsORE -11.5+360 / -47059.5
FanDuelORE -11.5+340 / -46559.5
FanaticsORE -12.5+360 / -47559.5
BetRiversORE -12.5+370 / -52959.5
CaesarsORE -11.5+340 / -44159.5

UCLA vs Oregon prediction from the odds

With Oregon -11.5 and a 59.5 total, the implied final is Oregon (59.5 + 11.5) / 2 = 35.5 and UCLA 24. The line has come down a point and a half since it opened at Oregon -13, and our Sunday preview had it at -12.5 to -13.5. The most likely reason is the uncertainty at quarterback for Oregon, but no book or outlet has said so directly, so treat that as our read of the timing, not a fact. If Oregon rules Moore out, expect the spread to drop further.

Is Dante Moore playing against UCLA?

Not confirmed yet. Dante Moore was hit late on a slide in the second quarter at USC on September 26 and was diagnosed with a concussion, per Field Level Media, theScore and CBS Sports. On Monday, October 5, he returned to practice in a helmet and shoulder pads and did "a little work," according to coach Dan Lanning, as reported by Yahoo Sports and Autzen Zoo. Oregon's first official availability report for the UCLA game is due Wednesday, October 7, at 5 PM Pacific. If Moore cannot go, Dylan Raiola, the Nebraska transfer who finished Oregon's 41-27 win at USC, is the expected starter. As of October 6, Moore's status for Saturday is unresolved.

How UCLA and Oregon got here

DateUCLA (4-0)Oregon (3-1)
Sept 5W 45-24 at CaliforniaW 34-27 vs Boise State
Sept 12W 28-10 vs San Diego StateL 39-31 at Oklahoma State
Sept 18-19W 52-38 vs PurdueW 84-0 vs Portland State (Fri)
Sept 26W 54-3 at MarylandW 41-27 at USC
Oct 3ByeBye

UCLA: a 4-0 start in Bob Chesney's first season

UCLA went 3-9 in 2025. Under first-year coach Bob Chesney, hired from James Madison, the Bruins are 4-0, ranked for the first time since 2023, and scoring 44.8 points per game while allowing 18.75. Running back Wayne Knight, who followed Chesney from James Madison, has 445 rushing yards and a nation-leading 9 rushing touchdowns, per SI and Yahoo Sports. Quarterback Nico Iamaleava, the Tennessee transfer, has 4 touchdown passes. Chesney has seen Autzen before: his James Madison team lost 51-34 there in the College Football Playoff first round in December 2025.

Oregon: one loss and a quarterback question

Oregon lost 39-31 at Oklahoma State on September 12 as the No. 6 team in the country, then beat Portland State 84-0 and won 41-27 at USC, its fifth straight win over the Trojans. The Ducks are scoring 47.5 points per game and allowing 23.25, based on their four results. Before the injury, Moore threw for 378 yards and 3 touchdowns against Boise State. Dan Lanning is in his fifth season.

UCLA vs Oregon series history

Oregon has won five straight meetings with UCLA, and UCLA has not won at Autzen Stadium since 2004, per Yahoo Sports and Winsipedia's series data. The last three games:

DateResultSite
Sept 28, 2024Oregon 34, UCLA 13Rose Bowl
Oct 22, 2022Oregon 45, UCLA 30Autzen Stadium
Oct 23, 2021Oregon 34, UCLA 31Rose Bowl

Other UCLA and Oregon injuries

Beyond Moore, the injury picture is thin before the first official reports. UCLA quarterback Nico Iamaleava has taken several hits this season but has not been listed as doubtful anywhere. Both teams were idle on October 3, so neither has a rest edge. We will update this section after Oregon's Wednesday availability report.

No pick on this page. Our handicapped side for UCLA at Oregon is available through premium picks (Pay After You Win: charged only on a win), and free plays go up on free picks.

UCLA vs Oregon questions

Who is favored in UCLA vs Oregon in 2026?+
Oregon is an 11.5-point favorite over UCLA at most books (12.5 at Fanatics and BetRivers) for Saturday, October 10, 2026, with a 59.5 total, as of October 6.
What is the UCLA vs Oregon prediction from the odds?+
The spread and total imply Oregon 35.5, UCLA 24. DraftKings' moneylines give Oregon a 79.1% chance to win with the margin removed, as of October 6, 2026.
Is Dante Moore playing against UCLA?+
As of October 6, 2026, Dante Moore's status is unresolved. He returned to practice on October 5 after a concussion, and Oregon's first availability report comes out October 7.
Why is UCLA 4-0 in 2026?+
UCLA is 4-0 under first-year coach Bob Chesney, scoring 44.8 points per game, with running back Wayne Knight leading the nation with 9 rushing touchdowns through four games.
When did UCLA last beat Oregon?+
UCLA has lost five straight to Oregon since 2018 and has not won at Autzen Stadium since 2004.
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UCLA vs Oregon Prediction 2026 | Guaranteed Sport Picks