NFL MVP Odds 2026: Allen and Burrow Co-Favorites, Love Surges
Josh Allen and Joe Burrow are co-favorites in the NFL MVP odds as of Monday, November 9, 2026: Allen is +220 to +230 and Burrow +200 to +230 across five sportsbooks. A week ago Allen was alone at the top at +150 to +165, and Burrow was +425 to +600.
NFL MVP odds 2026: the full board
| Player | Team | Books | DK | DK implied | Kalshi | Poly | Nov 3 (DK) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | Bills (7-1) | +220 to +230 | +230 | 30.3% | 25.5% | 25% | +165 |
| Joe Burrow | Bengals (6-2) | +200 to +230 | +230 | 30.3% | 27.5% | 28.5% | +475 |
| Brock Purdy | 49ers (7-1) | +450 to +470 | +450 | 18.2% | 14.5% | 12% | +450 |
| Jordan Love | Packers (6-3) | +650 to +750 | +650 | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | +2,500 |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jaguars (6-2) | +750 to +900 | +900 | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | +950 |
| Caleb Williams | Bears (7-2) | +1,200 to +2,200 | +1,400 | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | +500 |
| Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs (6-2) | +3,000 to +6,600 | +3,000 | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | +1,700 |
| Jared Goff | Lions (6-2) | +4,000 to +8,000 | +4,500 | 2.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | +3,000 |
| Drake Maye | Patriots (5-4) | +4,500 to +10,000 | +4,500 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | +1,500 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Lions (6-2) | +5,000 to +12,500 | +5,500 | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | +6,000 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seahawks (5-4) | +6,000 to +12,500 | +7,500 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | +6,000 |
| Matthew Stafford | Rams (5-4) | +10,000 to +12,500 | +10,000 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | +7,000 |
| Dak Prescott | Cowboys (4-5) | +10,000 to +12,500 | +10,000 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | +10,000 |
"Books" is the range at bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars and FanDuel on VegasInsider's MVP board, checked Monday morning, November 9. Kalshi and Polymarket are Monday-morning midpoints. An award board is a partial field, so these raw percentages cannot be de-vigged the way a full Super Bowl board can.
Biggest NFL MVP odds movers this week
| Player | Nov 3 (DK) | Nov 9 (DK) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | +2,500 | +650 | Shorter |
| Joe Burrow | +475 | +230 | Shorter |
| Josh Allen | +165 | +230 | Longer |
| Caleb Williams | +500 | +1,400 | Longer |
| Drake Maye | +1,500 | +4,500 | Longer |
| Patrick Mahomes | +1,700 | +3,000 | Longer |
| Trevor Lawrence | +950 | +900 | Shorter |
| Brock Purdy | +450 | +450 | Same |
Jordan Love had the biggest move, from +2,500 to +650 at DraftKings, after the Packers beat the Patriots 45-27 in New England. Burrow roughly halved his price after the Bengals beat Atlanta 34-17 in Madrid.
Allen drifted from +165 to +230 during Buffalo's bye week. Caleb Williams went from +500 to +1,400 at DraftKings even though the Bears beat Tampa Bay 27-24, and Drake Maye fell from +1,500 to +4,500 after the Patriots' loss.
Josh Allen and Joe Burrow: the NFL MVP co-favorites
Josh Allen's Buffalo Bills are 7-1 and hold the AFC 1 seed. Allen is +220 to +230 at the books and 25% to 25.5% on the prediction markets. The Bills beat Minnesota 23-6 on Monday night, after these prices were set, and visit the Jets in Week 10.
Joe Burrow's Cincinnati Bengals are 6-2 and 62% to win the AFC North. Burrow is +200 to +230 at the books, the shortest single price on the board, and 27.5% to 28.5% on Kalshi and Polymarket. He hosts Pittsburgh on Sunday night.
The rest of the NFL MVP field
Brock Purdy is +450 to +470 with the 49ers at 7-1. Jordan Love is +650 to +750 with Green Bay at 6-3, and Trevor Lawrence is +750 to +900 with Jacksonville at 6-2.
Behind them, Caleb Williams is +1,200 to +2,200, the widest range among the leaders. Patrick Mahomes is +3,000 to +6,600 after an elbow injury Sunday; his MRI showed no major damage. Polymarket's MVP market lists the same race. See the Super Bowl odds for the team side.
How NFL MVP odds work
An MVP bet pays if the player wins the Associated Press award, voted after the regular season. Quarterbacks on top seeds win it most years, which is why the board follows the standings so closely. Our free plays for the week are on the free picks page.
NFL MVP odds questions
Who is the favorite to win NFL MVP?+
How much did Josh Allen's MVP odds change this week?+
Who moved the most in the NFL MVP odds?+
What are Brock Purdy's MVP odds?+
Can a non-quarterback win NFL MVP?+
For the first-year race, see our NFL Rookie of the Year odds.