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NFL Rookie of the Year Odds 2026: Love and Rodriguez Lead Both Races

NFL Rookie of the Year Odds 2026: Love and Rodriguez Lead Both Races

Arizona Cardinals running back Jeremiyah Love is the clear favorite for 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at +105 to +140 as of October 3, 2026, and Miami Dolphins linebacker Jacob Rodriguez leads the Defensive Rookie of the Year board at +300 to +350. Here are both races across six sportsbooks, what each contender has done through Week 3, and how far the prices have moved since the season opened.

In one sentence
Love is the only rookie priced near even money for either award; behind him, Browns receiver Denzel Boston (+425 to +500) is the closest challenger, while the defensive race is wide open with five players at 10% or better.
+140
Love, best OROY price
At Caesars; FanDuel is +105
+370
Where Love started
Per DraftKings in the preseason
+300
Rodriguez, DROY favorite
Up from outside the top 3
+1,400
Sadiq after Week 3
Was +4,000 at DraftKings

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

The table shows the low and high price for each player across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel and BetRivers on VegasInsider's live board, the best available number, and the implied probability of the median price. Award boards list only some of the rookies, so these percentages still include the sportsbooks' margin and cannot be de-vigged.

PlayerTeamRangeBest priceImplied
Jeremiyah LoveCardinals RB+105 to +140+140 (Caesars)43.5%
Denzel BostonBrowns WR+425 to +500+500 (Caesars)18.2%
KC ConcepcionBrowns WR+1,100 to +1,200+1,200 (bet365 and others)7.7%
Carnell TateTitans WR+1,000 to +1,500+1,500 (BetRivers)7.1%
Kenyon SadiqJets TE+1,200 to +1,500+1,500 (BetMGM, FanDuel, BetRivers)6.5%
Makai LemonEagles WR+2,000 to +2,500+2,500 (BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers)4.1%
Antonio WilliamsCommanders WR+2,500 to +3,000+3,000 (DraftKings)3.8%
Fernando MendozaRaiders QB+2,500 to +3,500+3,500 (BetMGM, DraftKings)3.1%
Jordyn TysonSaints WR+3,500 to +4,000+4,000 (BetMGM, FanDuel, BetRivers)2.6%
OROY implied probability, median price
Jeremiyah Love (Cardinals)43.5%
Denzel Boston (Browns)18.2%
KC Concepcion (Browns)7.7%
Carnell Tate (Titans)7.1%
Kenyon Sadiq (Jets)6.5%
Makai Lemon (Eagles)4.1%
Raw implied probability from the median of six books as of October 3, 2026. Includes the sportsbook margin.

Jeremiyah Love, Cardinals RB

The No. 3 overall pick from Notre Dame has been Arizona's offense. In the Week 3 loss to the San Francisco 49ers, Jeremiyah Love carried 21 times for 90 yards and caught five passes for 19 yards and a touchdown, 26 touches in all. Through three games he has about 160 rushing yards, 10 catches and two total touchdowns. His price has dropped from +370 at DraftKings in the preseason to as short as +105, which tells you the market sees a workload no other rookie can match.

Denzel Boston and KC Concepcion, Browns WRs

Cleveland has two rookie receivers in the top three. Denzel Boston, the 39th pick out of Washington, had a big receiving day against Tampa Bay and has moved from +1,800 at DraftKings to the +425 to +500 range. He was held to 41 yards against Carolina in Week 3, so his case still depends on volume. KC Concepcion, the 24th pick from Texas A&M, sits at +1,100 to +1,200. The two share targets in the same offense, which caps both.

Kenyon Sadiq, Jets TE

The biggest mover of the week. Kenyon Sadiq caught seven passes for 105 yards and a touchdown against the Detroit Lions in Week 3, and DraftKings cut him from +4,000 to +1,400 (he is +1,200 there now). He is still priced behind two receivers.

Fernando Mendoza, Raiders QB

The No. 1 overall pick is only 3% to 4% on this board at +2,500 to +3,500. He is the name to watch if his production picks up for a 3-0 Las Vegas team.

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds

PlayerTeamRangeBest priceImplied
Jacob RodriguezDolphins LB+300 to +350+350 (bet365, BetMGM, BetRivers)22.2%
David BaileyJets OLB+450 to +500+500 (bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings)16.7%
Sonny StylesCommanders LB+600 to +750+750 (BetMGM)12.9%
Arvell ReeseGiants LB+800 to +1,100+1,100 (Caesars, FanDuel)10.3%
Caleb DownsCowboys S+800 to +1,300+1,300 (FanDuel)10%
Mansoor DelaneChiefs CB+1,200 to +2,000+2,000 (BetMGM)6.5%
Hezekiah MassesRaiders CB+1,300 to +1,600+1,600 (Caesars)6.7%
Dillon ThienemanBears S+1,600 to +3,000+3,000 (BetRivers)4.8%

Jacob Rodriguez, Dolphins LB

Jacob Rodriguez went 43rd overall out of Texas Tech and now leads the board. Against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 3 he intercepted Patrick Mahomes and finished with six combined tackles, and Miami's 0-3 start has not slowed his rise. He is +300 to +350 as of October 3.

David Bailey, Jets OLB

The No. 2 overall pick opened as the favorite and has slipped to +450 to +500 while others made plays. Edge rushers usually win this award on sack totals, so his price will move fast once the sacks come.

Sonny Styles and Arvell Reese, linebackers

Washington's Sonny Styles (No. 7 pick) had a sack in Week 1 and an interception plus a forced fumble in Week 3, and he is +600 to +750. The Giants' Arvell Reese (No. 5 pick) made 13 combined tackles, 10 solo, in the win over the Tennessee Titans and jumped from +1,300 to as short as +800 at BetMGM.

Before you bet a rookie award
Shop the number. Caleb Downs is +800 at three books and +1,300 at FanDuel, and Dillon Thieneman ranges from +1,600 to +3,000. On a long futures ticket that gap matters more than any one game. Our sportsbook reviews show where to compare, and the futures betting guide explains how season-long bets settle.

How NFL Rookie of the Year is decided

Both awards are voted on by a national media panel after the regular season and handed out at NFL Honors before the Super Bowl. Voters lean on season totals and team success, so early-season odds follow workload and highlight plays.

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NFL Rookie of the Year odds questions

Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Arizona Cardinals running back Jeremiyah Love is the favorite at +105 to +140 across six sportsbooks as of October 3, 2026. Cleveland Browns receiver Denzel Boston is second at +425 to +500.
Who is the favorite for NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
Miami Dolphins linebacker Jacob Rodriguez leads at +300 to +350 as of October 3, 2026, ahead of New York Jets edge rusher David Bailey (+450 to +500) and Washington linebacker Sonny Styles (+600 to +750).
How much have the Rookie of the Year odds moved?
Jeremiyah Love went from +370 in the preseason to as short as +105. Jets tight end Kenyon Sadiq dropped from +4,000 to +1,400 at DraftKings after a 105-yard game in Week 3.
When is NFL Rookie of the Year announced?
Both awards are announced at NFL Honors, held the week of the Super Bowl. Super Bowl LXI is in February 2027 at SoFi Stadium.
Where can I find more NFL futures?
See our NFL MVP odds, Super Bowl odds and playoff predictions, all updated weekly.
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