โ—†PAY AFTER YOU WIN: Zero charge if your pick does not win.
โ—†REAL-TIME ODDS & LINE SHOPPING ACROSS ALL MAJOR SPORTSBOOKS.
โ—†DOCUMENTED & AUDITED SPORTS PICKS WITH ZERO SPREAD MANIPULATION.
๐Ÿท๏ธ20% off packages ยท Use Code: 20OFF4LAUNCH
โฑ๏ธOffer Ends:
51d 22:08:04
โœ…Transparent premium-pick grading and performance tracking
โ—†PAY AFTER YOU WIN: Zero charge if your pick does not win.
โ—†REAL-TIME ODDS & LINE SHOPPING ACROSS ALL MAJOR SPORTSBOOKS.
โ—†DOCUMENTED & AUDITED SPORTS PICKS WITH ZERO SPREAD MANIPULATION.
๐Ÿท๏ธ20% off packages ยท Use Code: 20OFF4LAUNCH
โฑ๏ธOffer Ends:
51d 22:08:04
โœ…Transparent premium-pick grading and performance tracking
Guaranteed Sport Picks
Stadium Background
GSP Betting Desk

Betting News & Insights

Practical sports betting analysis built to help you understand the market, evaluate matchups and make more disciplined decisions.

FREE SPORTS PICKS BY EMAIL.

Get our top picks delivered to your inbox daily.

No Spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

NFL Power Rankings Week 10 2026: All 32 Teams by Title Odds

NFL Power Rankings Week 10 2026: All 32 Teams by Title Odds

The San Francisco 49ers stay No. 1 in our NFL power rankings for Week 10 at a 13.2% chance to win the Super Bowl, as of Monday, November 9, 2026, through Sunday's games. The Buffalo Bills (6-1, plays Monday night) are second at 12.5%, and the Chicago Bears jump to third after a 27-24 win over Tampa Bay.

How we rank
We rank all 32 teams by what the market says about their Super Bowl chances, not by our opinion. Each team's number averages the sportsbooks (margin removed), Kalshi and Polymarket. Ties go to the team with the better playoff odds.
13.2%
49ers title chance
No. 1 again
12.5%
Bills title chance
Play Monday night
Up 2
Bears and Jaguars
Now 3rd and 4th
Down 5
Seahawks
4th to 9th

NFL power rankings Week 10: all 32 teams

NFL power rankings Week 10, as of November 9, 2026, 8:45 AM ET
RkTeamRecBooksTitle %PlayoffsLastMoveWeek 10
1San Francisco 49ers7-1+550 to +60013.2%95%1Sameat Cowboys
2Buffalo Bills6-1+575 to +60012.5%95%2Sameat Jets
3Chicago Bears7-2+700 to +80011.2%86%5Up 2Bye
4Jacksonville Jaguars6-2+8508.5%95%6Up 2at Titans
5Kansas City Chiefs6-2+1,000 to +1,2007.5%90%3Down 2at Falcons
6Los Angeles Rams5-4+1,000 to +1,3006.3%45%7Up 1at Cardinals
7Cincinnati Bengals6-2+1,200 to +1,3006.1%92%8Up 1vs Steelers
8Denver Broncos7-2+1,400 to +1,7005%91%9Up 1Bye
9Seattle Seahawks5-4+1,500 to +1,7004.6%55%4Down 5at Raiders
10Detroit Lions6-2+1,500 to +1,9004.4%75%10Samevs Patriots
11Green Bay Packers6-3+2,000 to +2,6003.3%65%13Up 2vs Vikings
12Minnesota Vikings6-1+2,200 to +2,8003%70%11Down 1at Packers
13New England Patriots5-4+2,200 to +3,0002.4%62%12Down 1at Lions
14Pittsburgh Steelers6-2+4,0001.9%73%14Sameat Bengals
15Houston Texans3-5+3,500 to +5,0001.6%39%15Sameat Browns
16New York Giants5-2-1+5,500 to +6,5001.4%63%17Up 1vs Commanders
17Dallas Cowboys4-5+5,500 to +6,0001.4%31%16Down 1vs 49ers
18Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-6+6,000 to +9,0000.8%35%19Up 1Bye
19Carolina Panthers3-5+9,000 to +11,0000.6%30%20Up 1at Saints
20Atlanta Falcons3-6+10,000 to +12,5000.6%16%21Up 1vs Chiefs
21New Orleans Saints3-5+12,500 to +20,0000.5%19%25Up 4vs Panthers
22Baltimore Ravens4-5+15,000 to +25,0000.5%16%18Down 4vs Chargers
23Washington Commanders2-5-1+12,500 to +20,0000.5%10%22Down 1at Giants
24Cleveland Browns5-4+20,000 to +22,5000.4%20%23Down 1vs Texans
25Las Vegas Raiders4-5+15,000 to +17,5000.4%15%24Down 1vs Seahawks
26Indianapolis Colts2-7+100,0000.2%3%28Up 2vs Dolphins
27Arizona Cardinals3-6+70,000 to +100,0000.2%3%27Samevs Rams
28Philadelphia Eagles2-7+100,0000.2%2%26Down 2Bye
29New York Jets2-7+100,0000.2%2%29Samevs Bills
30Miami Dolphins1-7+100,0000.2%2%32Up 2at Colts
31Tennessee Titans1-7+100,0000.2%2%30Down 1vs Jaguars
32Los Angeles Chargers0-8+100,0000.2%1%31Down 1at Ravens

"Books" is the range of Super Bowl prices across five books on VegasInsider's futures board (bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars and FanDuel), checked Monday morning. The board adds up to 121.9%, so we divide each median by that total. Kalshi and Polymarket are Monday-morning midpoints.

Playoff odds average Kalshi and Polymarket make-the-playoffs prices, scaled so each conference adds up to seven spots. Records are from CBS Sports and NFL.com standings. Our free plays for the week are on our free picks page.

Week 10 premium picks
Rankings show who the market likes. Our plays show where we bet.
Our handicapped Week 10 sides and totals are on the premium picks page.
See Week 10 premium picks โ†’
โœ“ Pay After You Win: charged only on a winโœ“ Trusted since 1999

Tier 1: the 49ers, Bills and Bears (1 to 3)

Three teams sit above 10%. The 49ers and Bills hold the No. 1 seeds, and the Bears are 7-2 with the second-best title price in the NFC.

San Francisco 49ers (7-1) beat the Raiders 38-17. Books: +550 to +600; title chance 13.2%; playoffs 95%. Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel both sat out the win. Week 10: at the Cowboys (Sun 4:25 PM ET), 49ers -3.5 to -4.5.

Buffalo Bills (6-1) were on a bye and play at Minnesota on Monday night. Books: +575 to +600; title chance 12.5%; playoffs 95%. Josh Allen is +220 to +230 for MVP, down from +150 a week ago. Week 10: at the Jets (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Bills -7.5 to -8.5.

The MVP race after Week 9 is on our NFL MVP odds page.

Chicago Bears (7-2) beat the Buccaneers 27-24 on Sunday night. Books: +700 to +800; title chance 11.2%; playoffs 86%. Chicago's playoff odds rose from 79% to 86%. Week 10: bye.

Tier 2: contenders between 4% and 9% (4 to 10)

Seven teams sit between 4.4% and 8.5%. Five of them are 6-2 or better, while the Rams and Seahawks are 5-4.

Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2) beat the Ravens 33-10 on Thursday night. Books: +850; title chance 8.5%; playoffs 95%. Jacksonville is 89% to win the AFC South. Week 10: at the Titans (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Jaguars -9.5.

Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) beat the Jets 35-12. Books: +1,000 to +1,200; title chance 7.5%; playoffs 90%. Patrick Mahomes' elbow MRI showed no major injury; Xavier Worthy has a hamstring injury. Week 10: at the Falcons (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Chiefs -3.5.

Los Angeles Rams (5-4) beat the Commanders 20-13. Books: +1,000 to +1,300; title chance 6.3%; playoffs 45%. Puka Nacua has an MRI on his knee Monday. Week 10: at the Cardinals (Sun 4:05 PM ET), Rams -7.5.

Cincinnati Bengals (6-2) beat the Falcons 34-17 in Madrid. Books: +1,200 to +1,300; title chance 6.1%; playoffs 92%. Cincinnati is 62% to win the AFC North. Week 10: vs. the Steelers (Sun 8:20 PM ET), Bengals -3.5.

Denver Broncos (7-2) beat the Panthers 26-21. Books: +1,400 to +1,700; title chance 5%; playoffs 91%. Denver has the best record in the AFC. Week 10: bye.

Seattle Seahawks (5-4) beat the Cardinals 17-3. Books: +1,500 to +1,700; title chance 4.6%; playoffs 55%. Seattle fell five spots with Sam Darnold and Drew Lock both hurt. Week 10: at the Raiders (Sun 4:05 PM ET), Seahawks -3 to -3.5.

Detroit Lions (6-2) beat the Dolphins 19-9. Books: +1,500 to +1,900; title chance 4.4%; playoffs 75%. Detroit's playoff odds rose from 71% to 75%. Week 10: vs. the Patriots (Sun 9:30 AM ET), Lions -2.5.

Tier 3: playoff hopefuls at 1% to 3% (11 to 17)

Green Bay Packers (6-3) beat the Patriots 45-27. Books: +2,000 to +2,600; title chance 3.3%; playoffs 65%. Green Bay climbed two spots; Josh Jacobs has a fractured finger. Week 10: vs. the Vikings (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Packers -3 to -3.5.

Minnesota Vikings (6-1) were on a bye and host Buffalo on Monday night. Books: +2,200 to +2,800; title chance 3%; playoffs 70%. Kyler Murray is out Monday with a hamstring injury, so Carson Wentz starts. Week 10: at the Packers (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Packers -3 to -3.5.

New England Patriots (5-4) lost 45-27 to the Packers. Books: +2,200 to +3,000; title chance 2.4%; playoffs 62%. New England's playoff odds fell from 76% to 62%. Week 10: at the Lions (Sun 9:30 AM ET), Lions -2.5.

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) were on a bye. Books: +4,000; title chance 1.9%; playoffs 73%. Pittsburgh leads the AFC North on tiebreakers. Week 10: at the Bengals (Sun 8:20 PM ET), Bengals -3.5.

Houston Texans (3-5) beat the Chargers 44-22. Books: +3,500 to +5,000; title chance 1.6%; playoffs 39%. Houston's playoff odds rose from 34% to 39%. Week 10: at the Browns (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Texans -4.5.

New York Giants (5-2-1) beat the Eagles 19-11. Books: +5,500 to +6,500; title chance 1.4%; playoffs 63%. The Giants are 61% to win the NFC East. Week 10: vs. the Commanders (Thu 8:15 PM ET), Giants -1.5.

Dallas Cowboys (4-5) beat the Colts 27-23. Books: +5,500 to +6,000; title chance 1.4%; playoffs 31%. Dallas is 29% to win the NFC East. Week 10: vs. the 49ers (Sun 4:25 PM ET), 49ers -3.5 to -4.5.

Tier 4: long shots still in the race (18 to 25)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) lost 27-24 to the Bears on Sunday night. Books: +6,000 to +9,000; title chance 0.8%; playoffs 35%. Tampa Bay is still the NFC South favorite at 35%. Week 10: bye.

Carolina Panthers (3-5) lost 26-21 to the Broncos. Books: +9,000 to +11,000; title chance 0.6%; playoffs 30%. Carolina leads the NFC South at 3-5 on tiebreakers. Week 10: at the Saints (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Panthers -1 to -1.5.

Atlanta Falcons (3-6) lost 34-17 to the Bengals in Madrid. Books: +10,000 to +12,500; title chance 0.6%; playoffs 16%. Week 10: vs. the Chiefs (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Chiefs -3.5.

New Orleans Saints (3-5) beat the Browns 23-22 in overtime. Books: +12,500 to +20,000; title chance 0.5%; playoffs 19%. New Orleans moved up four spots and hosts Carolina with the NFC South lead at stake. Week 10: vs. the Panthers (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Panthers -1 to -1.5.

Baltimore Ravens (4-5) lost 33-10 to the Jaguars on Thursday night. Books: +15,000 to +25,000; title chance 0.5%; playoffs 16%. Baltimore traded for Jacoby Brissett on Nov. 4 and has not named a Week 10 starter. Week 10: vs. the Chargers (Mon 8:15 PM ET), Ravens -4.5 to -5.5.

Washington Commanders (2-5-1) lost 20-13 to the Rams. Books: +12,500 to +20,000; title chance 0.5%; playoffs 10%. Week 10: at the Giants (Thu 8:15 PM ET), Giants -1.5.

Cleveland Browns (5-4) lost 23-22 in overtime to the Saints. Books: +20,000 to +22,500; title chance 0.4%; playoffs 20%. Cleveland has not named its Week 10 starter. Week 10: vs. the Texans (Sun 1:00 PM ET), Texans -4.5.

Las Vegas Raiders (4-5) lost 38-17 to the 49ers. Books: +15,000 to +17,500; title chance 0.4%; playoffs 15%. Week 10: vs. the Seahawks (Sun 4:05 PM ET), Seahawks -3 to -3.5.

Tier 5: the rest of the league (26 to 32)

Seven teams price at +70,000 or longer at the books and 3% or less to make the playoffs: Indianapolis Colts (2-7), Arizona Cardinals (3-6), Philadelphia Eagles (2-7), New York Jets (2-7), Miami Dolphins (1-7), Tennessee Titans (1-7), Los Angeles Chargers (0-8).

The Chargers are the last winless team in the league. The Titans were on a bye, and the Eagles are on bye in Week 10.

Why the expert NFL picks market differs from the standings

The Panthers lead the NFC South at 3-5, yet the Buccaneers (3-6) have the better title price and the higher odds to win the division. The market weighs schedule and roster health, not only the record.

The Rams (5-4) rank sixth while sitting outside the playoff field today. The Broncos (7-2) have the best record in the AFC and rank eighth, behind four AFC teams with more expensive title prices. See the playoff picture for the seeds.

NFL power rankings questions for Week 10

Who is No. 1 in the NFL power rankings for Week 10?+
The San Francisco 49ers are No. 1 for the second straight week at a 13.2% title chance, as of November 9, 2026. The Bills are second at 12.5% and the Bears third at 11.2%.
Which team moved up the most this week?+
The New Orleans Saints moved up four spots, from 25th to 21st, after beating Cleveland 23-22 in overtime. Among contenders, the Bears and Jaguars each moved up two spots.
Which team dropped the most?+
The Seattle Seahawks fell five spots, from 4th to 9th, even after beating Arizona 17-3. Sam Darnold and Drew Lock are both hurt heading into Week 10 at Las Vegas.
How are these NFL power rankings calculated?+
We average three Super Bowl prices for each team: the five-book median on VegasInsider's board with the margin removed, Kalshi and Polymarket. Ties go to the team with the higher playoff odds.
Do the Bills and Vikings play before Week 10?+
Yes. Buffalo plays at Minnesota on Monday night, November 9, after these rankings were set. The result can move both teams before Week 10 kicks off.
Free picks by email
Get our free picks by email
Our free plays and the line moves worth knowing each week.
Get free picks by email
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
The market ranks teams. We pick games.
Our free picks are open to everyone, and premium plays come with Pay After You Win: you are charged only on a win.