European Soccer Title Odds 2026-27: All Five Leagues Compared
Every one of Europe's top five soccer leagues has an odds-on title favorite as of November 10, 2026: Bayern Munich (91%), Paris Saint-Germain (90%), Arsenal (78%), Barcelona (69%) and Inter (63%), per Kalshi. Only Arsenal lead their league by more than three points, and Inter are not even top of Serie A.
Title favorites: lead in the table vs title chance
Read the two columns together. A long gold bar next to a short blue one means the market is backing the squad, not the standings. That is Bayern, PSG and Inter. Arsenal are the one favorite whose price is matched by a real lead.
European title odds for all five leagues
| League | Table leader | Lead | Market favorite | Chance | Next best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | Arsenal, 27 pts | 5 pts | Arsenal | 78% | Brighton, Man City 7% |
| La Liga | Barcelona, 33 pts | 3 pts | Barcelona | 69% | Real Madrid 30% |
| Serie A | Lazio, 29 pts | 1 pt | Inter | 63% | Roma 19% |
| Bundesliga | Bayern, 21 pts | Goal difference | Bayern Munich | 91% | Dortmund 9% |
| Ligue 1 | PSG, 23 pts | 2 pts | Paris Saint-Germain | 90% | Lille, Paris FC 3% |
All prices are the last Kalshi trades on November 10, 2026, and all tables are through the weekend of November 7 and 8. You can trade each title market on Kalshi. Our free plays for the NFL, college football and the NBA are on the free picks page.
The five title races, league by league
Premier League: Arsenal by five
Arsenal are 9-0-1 and have conceded five goals in 10 matches. Brighton are second and Manchester City third after three straight losses. Arsenal host City on November 29. Full board: Premier League title odds.
La Liga: Barcelona by three
Barcelona have scored 48 goals in 12 matches, but Real Madrid won the first Clasico 2-1 and sit three points back. It is the only league where the second favorite is priced at 30%. Full board: La Liga title odds.
Serie A: Lazio lead, Inter favored
Lazio are unbeaten and top with 29 points, yet priced at 8%, behind Inter and Roma. Inter are one point back. Full board: Serie A title odds.
Bundesliga: level on points
Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund both have 21 points after nine matches and drew 2-2 in Munich. Bayern are 91% anyway. Full board: Bundesliga title odds.
Ligue 1: PSG by two
PSG lead Lille by two points and Paris FC by three, and are priced at 90%. Full board: Ligue 1 title odds.
How the same clubs are priced in the Champions League
Four of the five domestic favorites are also in the top five of the Champions League market: Barcelona 23%, PSG 19%, and Bayern and Arsenal at 14% each, with Real Madrid also at 14%. The final is June 5, 2027 in Madrid. Full board: Champions League odds.
New to soccer markets? Start with our guide to betting on soccer.