NFL Power Rankings Week 7 2026: 49ers Take No. 1, Rams Fall to 5th
The San Francisco 49ers are No. 1 in the Guaranteed Sport Picks NFL power rankings for Week 7, as of Monday morning, October 19, 2026, at +550 to +600 to win the Super Bowl. That is a 12.1% fair chance once the bookmaker margin comes out of the full 32-team board. The Buffalo Bills are second at +700, and the Los Angeles Rams, No. 1 a week ago, fell to fifth after an 18-16 loss to Arizona left them 2-4.
NFL power rankings Week 7: all 32 teams
| Rank, team | Move | Rec | Super Bowl odds | Fair % | Playoffs | Week 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. San Francisco 49ers | +2 | 5-0 | +550 to +600 | 12.1% | 93% | at ATL, SF -4.5 |
| 2. Buffalo Bills | = | 5-1 | +700 | 10.4% | 90% | Bye |
| 3. Kansas City Chiefs | +3 | 5-0 | +850 to +950 | 8.5% | 89% | at SEA, KC +2.5 |
| 4. Baltimore Ravens | = | 4-2 | +900 to +1,000 | 8.1% | 77% | vs CIN, BAL -2.5 |
| 5. Los Angeles Rams | -4 | 2-4 | +1,000 | 7.5% | 54% | at LV, LAR -5.5 |
| 6. Seattle Seahawks | -1 | 3-3 | +1,200 to +1,400 | 5.9% | 59% | vs KC, SEA -2.5 |
| 7. Jacksonville Jaguars | = | 4-2 | +1,300 to +1,500 | 5.7% | 81% | Bye |
| 8. Chicago Bears | = | 4-2 | +1,400 to +1,500 | 5.4% | 67% | vs NE, CHI -2.5 |
| 9. Denver Broncos | = | 4-2 | +1,800 to +2,000 | 4.2% | 73% | at ARI, DEN -4.5 |
| 10. Minnesota Vikings | +1 | 5-0 | +1,800 to +2,000 | 4.2% | 80% | vs IND, MIN -5.5 |
| 11. New England Patriots | +3 | 4-2 | +1,800 to +2,000 | 4.0% | 74% | at CHI, NE +2.5 |
| 12. Cincinnati Bengals | = | 3-2 | +2,000 to +2,200 | 3.8% | 61% | at BAL, CIN +2.5 |
| 13. Detroit Lions | = | 3-2 | +2,200 to +2,500 | 3.4% | 62% | vs GB, DET -3.5 |
| 14. Green Bay Packers | +7 | 4-2 | +3,000 to +3,300 | 2.7% | 53% | at DET, GB +3.5 |
| 15. Houston Texans | +1 | 2-4 | +2,700 to +3,000 | 2.7% | 43% | vs NYG, HOU -9.5 |
| 16. Dallas Cowboys | -6 | 2-4 | +3,300 to +3,500 | 2.4% | 45% | at PHI, DAL -4.5 |
| 17. Carolina Panthers | +1 | 3-2 | +4,500 to +5,000 | 1.6% | 54% | vs TB, CAR -3.5 |
| 18. Atlanta Falcons | +1 | 2-4 | +7,500 to +10,000 | 0.9% | 27% | vs SF, ATL +4.5 |
| 19. Pittsburgh Steelers | +4 | 4-2 | +8,000 to +10,000 | 0.8% | 37% | at NO, PIT -2.5 |
| 20. Las Vegas Raiders | -3 | 3-3 | +9,000 to +10,000 | 0.8% | 21% | vs LAR, LV +5.5 |
| 21. New Orleans Saints | +1 | 2-4 | +10,000 to +12,500 | 0.7% | 24% | vs PIT, NO +2.5 |
| 22. Philadelphia Eagles | -7 | 2-4 | +10,000 to +12,500 | 0.7% | 20% | vs DAL, PHI +4.5 |
| 23. New York Giants | +2 | 3-2-1 | +12,500 to +17,500 | 0.6% | 27% | at HOU, NYG +9.5 |
| 24. Washington Commanders | = | 1-3-1 | +10,000 to +15,000 | 0.6% | 19% | Bye |
| 25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2 | 1-5 | +12,500 to +15,000 | 0.6% | 14% | at CAR, TB +3.5 |
| 26. Indianapolis Colts | -6 | 2-4 | +12,500 to +15,000 | 0.5% | 14% | at MIN, IND +5.5 |
| 27. Cleveland Browns | +1 | 4-2 | +17,500 to +20,000 | 0.4% | 26% | at TEN, CLE -1.5 |
| 28. Arizona Cardinals | +2 | 2-4 | +40,000 to +100,000 | 0.2% | 5% | vs DEN, ARI +4.5 |
| 29. New York Jets | = | 2-4 | +50,000 to +60,000 | 0.2% | 8% | vs MIA, NYJ -5.5 |
| 30. Los Angeles Chargers | -4 | 0-6 | +50,000 to +100,000 | 0.1% | 2% | Bye |
| 31. Tennessee Titans | = | 1-5 | +100,000 to +300,000 | 0.1% | 2% | vs CLE, TEN +1.5 |
| 32. Miami Dolphins | = | 0-5 | +100,000 to +500,000 | 0.1% | 0.9% | at NYJ, MIA +5.5 |
Fair % removes the margin across the whole board. Playoff % averages the make-the-playoffs prices at FanDuel and BetRivers on VegasInsider's board, scaled so each conference adds to its seven spots. DraftKings' columns on both VegasInsider and SportsbookReview still showed pre-Week 6 prices Monday morning and are left out. Week 7 lines are the consensus of six books on SportsbookReview's board; full spreads, totals and line moves are in our NFL Week 7 preview.
Tier 1: four teams between 8% and 12% (1 to 4)
The top of the 2026 Super Bowl market has a new order. San Francisco moved past Buffalo and the Rams, and Kansas City climbed from sixth to third.
1. San Francisco 49ers (5-0)
The 49ers are 5-0 and the new Super Bowl favorite at +550 to +600 (12.1%), up from +850 to +950 a week ago. They have the best make-the-playoffs price in the league at about 93% and are 7.5-point favorites over Washington on Monday night, then 4.5-point favorites at Atlanta in Week 7. A win Monday would also give them the NFC's No. 1 seed.
2. Buffalo Bills (5-1)
Buffalo won 33-30 at Las Vegas to reach 5-1 and is +700 at all four books (10.4%). Josh Allen is back as the NFL MVP favorite. The Bills are on bye in Week 7 and about 90% to make the playoffs.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (5-0)
Kansas City beat the Chargers 22-6 and is the AFC's only unbeaten team at 5-0. The Chiefs are +850 to +950 (8.5%) and 2 to 2.5-point underdogs at Seattle on Sunday night. The market is fading the AFC's last unbeaten team on the road.
4. Baltimore Ravens (4-2)
Baltimore lost 13-10 at Cleveland on a field goal on the final play, with Tyler Huntley starting while Lamar Jackson (ankle) missed his second straight game. The Ravens are eighth in the AFC standings but still +900 to +1,000 (8.1%), about 77% to make the playoffs and the AFC North favorite. They host Cincinnati as 2.5 to 3-point favorites; Jackson's Week 7 status is unresolved.
Tier 2: contenders a step behind (5 to 9)
5. Los Angeles Rams (2-4)
The Rams were No. 1 last week and are now 2-4 after Chad Ryland kicked his sixth field goal as time expired in Arizona's 18-16 win, per the AP. They are +1,000 at all four books (7.5%), out from +650, and the NFC West price has drifted to +900. Davante Adams left the game favoring his knee, and the Rams had not given an update as of Monday morning. Los Angeles is a 5.5-point favorite at Las Vegas.
6. Seattle Seahawks (3-3)
Seattle lost 17-14 in overtime at Denver after an interception on its first overtime possession and fell to 3-3, the first team outside the NFC field. The Seahawks are +1,200 to +1,400 (5.9%) and host Kansas City on Sunday night as 2 to 2.5-point favorites.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2)
Jacksonville lost 34-31 to Houston in London on a 49-yard field goal as time expired, despite four touchdown passes from Trevor Lawrence. The Jaguars are 4-2, keep the AFC No. 3 seed, are +1,300 to +1,500 (5.7%) and have the Week 7 bye.
8. Chicago Bears (4-2)
Caleb Williams returned from a hamstring injury and went 30 of 36 for 305 yards in a 31-23 win at Atlanta. The Bears are 4-2, +1,400 to +1,500 (5.4%), and open Week 7 on Thursday night as 2.5 to 3.5-point home favorites over New England.
9. Denver Broncos (4-2)
Denver beat Seattle 17-14 in overtime on a 53-yard Wil Lutz field goal and holds the AFC No. 6 seed at 4-2. The Broncos are +1,800 to +2,000 (4.2%) and 4 to 4.5-point favorites at Arizona. Cornerback Patrick Surtain II left the Thursday game with an ankle injury.
Tier 3: the crowded middle (10 to 16)
10. Minnesota Vikings (5-0)
The Vikings had the bye and are still 5-0 and the NFC No. 1 seed, at +1,800 to +2,000 (4.2%) and +115 to +130 to win the NFC North. They host Indianapolis as 5.5 to 6-point favorites.
11. New England Patriots (4-2)
New England beat the Jets 26-19 behind three Drake Maye touchdown passes and holds the AFC No. 5 seed at 4-2. The Patriots are +1,800 to +2,000 (4.0%) and 2.5 to 3.5-point underdogs at Chicago on a short week. Wide receiver Romeo Doubs was hurt on his 42-yard touchdown catch.
12. Cincinnati Bengals (3-2)
Cincinnati had the bye at 3-2 and is +2,000 to +2,200 (3.8%). The Bengals visit Baltimore as 2.5 to 3-point underdogs in the game that shapes the AFC North market.
13. Detroit Lions (3-2)
Detroit had the bye at 3-2 and holds the NFC's last wild card. The Lions are +2,200 to +2,500 (3.4%) and 3 to 3.5-point home favorites over Green Bay, with a 52.5 total.
14. Green Bay Packers (4-2)
Green Bay beat Dallas 23-13 for its third straight win and climbed seven spots. The Packers are +3,000 to +3,300 (2.7%) and about 53% to make the playoffs, up from about 35%. Running back Josh Jacobs comes off the Commissioner's Exempt List and is eligible for Week 7, per CBS Sports and Yahoo Sports.
15. Houston Texans (2-4)
Houston beat Jacksonville 34-31 in London on Ka'imi Fairbairn's 49-yard field goal at the gun, with C.J. Stroud throwing for 312 yards and three touchdowns. The Texans are 2-4, +2,700 to +3,000 (2.7%), and the biggest favorite of Week 7 at 8.5 to 9.5 over the Giants.
16. Dallas Cowboys (2-4)
Dallas lost 23-13 at Green Bay and is 2-4, but the market still makes the Cowboys the NFC East favorite at +120 to +130. They are +3,300 to +3,500 (2.4%) and 4.5-point road favorites at Philadelphia on Monday night of Week 7.
Tier 4: long shots with a path (17 to 25)
Nine teams sit between 0.6% and 1.6%. Two of them, Carolina and the Giants, hold division-leader seeds today.
- 17. Carolina Panthers (3-2): +4,500 to +5,000 after a 25-14 win at Philadelphia. Lead the NFC South and are slight favorites to win it. 3 to 3.5-point home favorites over Tampa Bay.
- 18. Atlanta Falcons (2-4): +7,500 to +10,000 after a 31-23 home loss to Chicago. Michael Penix Jr. threw three touchdown passes. 4.5-point home underdogs to San Francisco.
- 19. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2): +8,000 to +10,000 after a 26-19 overtime win at Tampa Bay. Hold the AFC No. 7 seed. 2 to 2.5-point favorites over New Orleans in Paris.
- 20. Las Vegas Raiders (3-3): +9,000 to +10,000 after a 33-30 home loss to Buffalo. 5.5-point home underdogs to the Rams.
- 21. New Orleans Saints (2-4): +10,000 to +12,500 after a 34-27 win at the Giants with three Tyler Shough touchdown passes.
- 22. Philadelphia Eagles (2-4): +10,000 to +12,500, out from +2,500 to +4,000 a week ago. Lost a fourth straight, and Jalen Hurts went on injured reserve with a blood clot in his calf.
- 23. New York Giants (3-2-1): +12,500 to +17,500 despite the NFC No. 4 seed. Jameis Winston was benched in the fourth quarter of the loss to New Orleans, and John Harbaugh had not named a Week 7 starter.
- 24. Washington Commanders (1-3-1): +10,000 to +15,000. Play at San Francisco on Monday night as 7.5-point underdogs, then have the Week 7 bye.
- 25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-5): +12,500 to +15,000 after a 26-19 overtime loss to Pittsburgh. Baker Mayfield (thumb) has missed three straight games and his Week 7 status is unresolved.
Tier 5: the bottom seven (26 to 32)
The Colts (2-4, +12,500 to +15,000), Browns (4-2, +17,500 to +20,000), Cardinals (2-4), Jets (2-4), Chargers (0-6), Titans (1-5) and Dolphins (0-5) close out the list. Cleveland is the outlier: 4-2 and leading the AFC North, yet priced at about 26% to make the playoffs. Tennessee won for the first time, 26-20 at Indianapolis, and Arizona beat the Rams on the final play.
Why the market rankings differ from the NFL standings
Six games is still a small sample, and the market prices rosters, quarterback health and schedule along with records. Minnesota (5-0) ranks 10th, Baltimore ranks 4th from eighth place in the AFC, and the 2-4 Rams are still fifth. The Browns lead a division and rank 27th. The gaps show up most clearly in the division odds in our NFL playoff predictions and the seeds in the NFL playoff picture.