NFL Week 6 Recap 2026: Scores, ATS Results and Upsets
The San Francisco 49ers held off Washington 23-17 on Monday night to close NFL Week 6 at 6-0, but as 7 to 7.5-point favorites they did not cover, and that summed up the week. Through Monday's games, favorites went 5-8-1 against the closing spread, six underdogs won outright, and totals split 7-7, as of Tuesday, October 20, 2026. The biggest upset was Arizona's 18-16 win as a 12.5 to 13.5-point underdog in Los Angeles.
NFL Week 6 scores and results against the spread
| Game | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks at Broncos (Thu) | Broncos 17, Seahawks 14 (OT) | SEA -2.5 | Dog wins outright | 40.5 | Under (31) |
| Texans vs. Jaguars (London) | Texans 34, Jaguars 31 | JAX -2.5 | Dog wins outright | 42.5 | Over (65) |
| Ravens at Browns | Browns 13, Ravens 10 | BAL -3 | Dog wins outright | 39.5 | Under (23) |
| Titans at Colts | Titans 26, Colts 20 | IND -6.5 | Dog wins outright | 43.5 | Over (46) |
| Bears at Falcons | Bears 31, Falcons 23 | CHI -1.5 | Favorite covers | 51.5 | Over (54) |
| Jets at Patriots | Patriots 26, Jets 19 | NE -7 to -7.5 | Push at 7, Jets at 7.5 | 42.5 to 43.5 | Over (45) |
| Panthers at Eagles | Panthers 25, Eagles 14 | CAR -3 | Favorite covers | 39 to 39.5 | Under at 39.5, push at 39 |
| Saints at Giants | Saints 34, Giants 27 | NO -1.5 | Favorite covers | 46.5 | Over (61) |
| Steelers at Buccaneers | Steelers 26, Buccaneers 19 (OT) | PIT -2.5 | Favorite covers | 37.5 to 38.5 | Over (45) |
| Cardinals at Rams | Cardinals 18, Rams 16 | LAR -12.5 to -13.5 | Dog wins outright | 51.5 | Under (34) |
| Chargers at Chiefs | Chiefs 22, Chargers 6 | KC -7.5 | Favorite covers | 41.5 | Under (28) |
| Bills at Raiders | Bills 33, Raiders 30 | BUF -5.5 | Raiders cover | 53.5 to 54.5 | Over (63) |
| Cowboys at Packers (SNF) | Packers 23, Cowboys 13 | DAL -1.5 | Dog wins outright | 54.5 | Under (36) |
| Commanders at 49ers (MNF) | 49ers 23, Commanders 17 | SF -7 to -7.5 | Commanders cover | 51.5 to 52.5 | Under (40) |
Final scores are checked against CBS Sports, Fox Sports and PFF, with team sites and AP for the London, Sunday night and Monday night games. Closing spreads and totals are the consensus across VegasInsider, Fox Sports (bet365) and DraftKings' closing numbers; where books closed on different numbers, the range is shown. Three results depended on the number you got: Patriots -7 was a push and -7.5 lost, Panthers-Eagles landed exactly on 39 (an Under at 39.5, a push at 39), and the 49ers failed to cover at either 7 or 7.5. That is why we tell readers to compare books on our sportsbooks page before every bet, and why our key numbers guide matters most on 3 and 7.
Biggest NFL Week 6 upsets
Cardinals 18, Rams 16 (Rams -12.5 to -13.5)
The largest upset of the season so far. Arizona's kicker made all six field goal tries, the last from 43 yards as time expired, after Matthew Stafford had put the Rams ahead with a touchdown pass inside the final minute. The Rams fell to 2-4 and out of the NFC playoff field, and their Super Bowl price drifted from +650 to +1,100 to +1,200 by Tuesday.
Titans 26, Colts 20 (Colts -6.5)
Tennessee, winless coming in, scored 20 points in the fourth quarter, including a touchdown on a blocked punt, and Indianapolis turned it over on downs on its last two drives. The Titans got their first win and the Colts fell to 2-4.
Browns 13, Ravens 10 (Ravens -3)
With Lamar Jackson out for a second straight game (ankle), Baltimore managed 10 points, and Cleveland won on a field goal at the gun. The Browns took the AFC North lead at 4-2 on tiebreakers, and the Ravens dropped to eighth in the AFC.
Also outright: Broncos, Texans and Packers
Denver beat Seattle 17-14 in overtime on Thursday night after a Sam Darnold interception in the extra period set up the winning field goal. Houston beat Jacksonville 34-31 in London on a 49-yard field goal at the gun, with C.J. Stroud throwing three touchdown passes. Green Bay beat Dallas 23-13 on Sunday night as a 1.5-point underdog at most books, with Dak Prescott throwing two interceptions.
Biggest covers and totals of Week 6
Kansas City covered by 8.5 points, holding the Chargers without a touchdown in a 22-6 win, and Carolina covered by 8 in a 25-14 win at Philadelphia, where Tanner McKee made his first start in place of Jalen Hurts. Hurts was later found to have blood clots in both lungs and a leg and is expected to miss the rest of the season, per NFL.com and CBS Sports. New Orleans (34-27 at the Giants) and Pittsburgh (26-19 in overtime at Tampa Bay) also covered.
| Game | Total | Points | Vs. total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Jaguars | 42.5 | 65 | +22.5 |
| Saints at Giants | 46.5 | 61 | +14.5 |
| Bills at Raiders | 53.5 | 63 | +9.5 |
| Steelers at Buccaneers | 37.5 | 45 | +7.5 |
| Cowboys at Packers | 54.5 | 36 | -18.5 |
| Cardinals at Rams | 51.5 | 34 | -17.5 |
| Ravens at Browns | 39.5 | 23 | -16.5 |
| Chargers at Chiefs | 41.5 | 28 | -13.5 |
The Overs that cashed big were shootouts with late scoring: Buffalo and Las Vegas combined for 63 as Josh Allen tied Jim Kelly's Bills record for career touchdown passes. The Unders came from the two lowest-scoring sides of the week, Baltimore without Jackson and the Chargers, plus a Sunday night game in Green Bay that never got going.
How Week 6 changed the NFL playoff picture
| Seed | Team | Record | Vs. Week 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC 1 | Kansas City Chiefs | 5-0 | Same |
| AFC 2 | Buffalo Bills | 5-1 | Up from 4 |
| AFC 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-2 | Same |
| AFC 4 | Cleveland Browns | 4-2 | New, AFC North lead |
| AFC 5 | New England Patriots | 4-2 | Same |
| AFC 6 | Denver Broncos | 4-2 | Same |
| AFC 7 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 4-2 | New |
| NFC 1 | San Francisco 49ers | 6-0 | Up from 2 |
| NFC 2 | Minnesota Vikings | 5-0 | Down from 1 (bye) |
| NFC 3 | Carolina Panthers | 3-2 | Up from 4 |
| NFC 4 | New York Giants | 3-2-1 | Down from 3 |
| NFC 5 | Green Bay Packers | 4-2 | Same |
| NFC 6 | Chicago Bears | 4-2 | Up from 7 |
| NFC 7 | Detroit Lions | 3-2 | Down from 6 (bye) |
In the AFC, Cleveland's win over Baltimore and Pittsburgh's overtime win at Tampa Bay put both in the field, and Baltimore (4-2) and Las Vegas (3-3) fell out; seven AFC teams are 4-2 and tiebreakers decide most of the order. In the NFC, San Francisco's Monday win moved the 49ers past the idle 5-0 Vikings for the No. 1 seed, and Chicago moved ahead of Detroit for the last wild card. Full tiebreakers are in our NFL playoff picture, and our playoff predictions project the final bracket from the betting market.
How Guaranteed Sport Picks did in NFL Week 6
We posted ten NFL premium plays in Week 6 and went 5-5. Every play below is final and graded in our system, shown exactly as graded. The five winners were all underdogs, which fits a week where six dogs won outright, and the Cardinals +12.5 was the best of them.
| Pick | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos +2.5 | Seahawks at Broncos (Thu) | Win |
| Jacksonville -2.5 | Texans vs. Jaguars (London) | Loss |
| New York Jets +7.5 | Jets at Patriots | Win |
| Indianapolis -6.5 | Titans at Colts | Loss |
| New Orleans +1.5 | Saints at Giants | Win |
| Atlanta Falcons +1.5 | Bears at Falcons | Loss |
| Buffalo -5.5 | Bills at Raiders | Loss |
| Arizona Cardinals +12.5 | Cardinals at Rams | Win |
| Dallas +1.5 | Cowboys at Packers (SNF) | Loss |
| Washington +7.5 | Commanders at 49ers (MNF) | Win |
Premium picks are sold with Pay After You Win, so you are charged only when the pick wins. See this week's card on our premium picks and packages, or start with our free picks.