NFL Power Rankings Week 5 2026: All 32 Teams Ranked by the Betting Market

The Los Angeles Rams are No. 1 in our NFL power rankings for Week 5, even at 2-2, because the betting market still makes them the Super Bowl favorite at +600 to +650 as of Monday, October 5, 2026. The Buffalo Bills are No. 2 after their first loss, the Jacksonville Jaguars moved into the top seven, and the biggest climbers are the Chicago Bears (12th to 8th) and Carolina Panthers (25th to 21st).

How we rank

Every team is ranked by its fair Super Bowl odds: the middle price across bet365, BetMGM, Caesars and FanDuel, with the margin removed across the full 32-team board. Ties go to the team with the higher playoff odds. No opinions, no vibes: this is what the market says through Sunday's games. The Falcons and Saints play Monday night.

+600

Rams title price

No. 1 at 2-2

▲4

Biggest climb

Bears and Panthers, 4 spots each

▼5

Biggest drop

Eagles, 8th to 13th

Unbeaten teams

Chiefs 6th, 49ers 4th, Vikings 12th

NFL power rankings Week 5: the full table

Super Bowl prices are the range across four books as of October 5, 2026. "Fair" is the de-vigged title chance. "Move" compares with our Week 4 power rankings.

Team	Rec	SB odds	Fair	Playoffs	Move	Week 5
1. Los Angeles Rams	2-2	+600 to +650	11.6%	72%	–	vs BUF, LAR -2.5
2. Buffalo Bills	3-1	+680 to +750	10.5%	87%	–	at LAR, LAR -2.5
3. Baltimore Ravens	3-1	+800 to +900	8.8%	83%	–	at ATL, BAL -3.5/-4
4. San Francisco 49ers	4-0	+800 to +950	8.8%	81%	–	at SEA, SEA -2.5/-3
5. Seattle Seahawks	3-1	+850 to +950	8.2%	72%	–	vs SF, SEA -2.5/-3
6. Kansas City Chiefs	4-0	+1000 to +1100	7.6%	85%	–	Bye
7. Jacksonville Jaguars	3-1	+1400 to +1600	4.9%	78%	▲3	vs PHI, JAX -4.5
8. Chicago Bears	3-1	+2000	4.0%	58%	▲4	at GB, CHI -2.5
9. Cincinnati Bengals	2-2	+2200 to +2700	3.6%	63%	▼2	at MIA, CIN -7/-7.5
10. Denver Broncos	2-2	+2200	3.6%	60%	▲1	at LAC, DEN -3.5
11. Detroit Lions	2-2	+2200	3.6%	57%	▼2	at ARI, DET -4.5
12. Minnesota Vikings	4-0	+2200 to +2500	3.4%	70%	▲1	at NO, MIN -1.5
13. Philadelphia Eagles	2-2	+2200 to +2800	3.2%	53%	▼5	at JAX, JAX -4.5
14. Dallas Cowboys	2-2	+2000 to +2500	3.2%	51%	–	vs TB, DAL -10/-10.5
15. New England Patriots	2-2	+2700 to +3000	2.9%	63%	–	vs LV, NE -3.5
16. Indianapolis Colts	2-2	+5500 to +6600	1.4%	37%	▲3	at PIT, PIT -1.5/-2.5
17. Green Bay Packers	2-2	+6000 to +6600	1.4%	30%	–	vs CHI, CHI -2.5
18. Houston Texans	0-4	+4000 to +7500	1.3%	27%	▼2	at TEN, HOU -6.5
19. Las Vegas Raiders	3-1	+6600 to +7500	1.2%	36%	▲2	at NE, NE -3.5
20. New Orleans Saints	1-2*	+5500 to +8000	1.2%	45%	–	vs MIN, MIN -1.5
21. Carolina Panthers	2-2	+9000 to +12500	0.8%	32%	▲4	Bye
22. Atlanta Falcons	1-2*	+10000 to +12500	0.7%	26%	▲4	vs BAL, BAL -3.5/-4
23. Pittsburgh Steelers	2-2	+11000 to +15000	0.7%	24%	▼1	vs IND, PIT -1.5/-2.5
24. New York Giants	3-1	+12500 to +15000	0.7%	21%	▲3	at WAS, WAS -3/-3.5
25. Washington Commanders	1-3	+10000 to +15000	0.7%	15%	▼2	vs NYG, WAS -3/-3.5
26. Los Angeles Chargers	0-4	+10000 to +15000	0.6%	12%	▼8	vs DEN, DEN -3.5
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-4	+12500 to +20000	0.6%	13%	▼3	at DAL, DAL -10/-10.5
28. Cleveland Browns	3-1	+15000 to +22500	0.4%	24%	–	at NYJ, NYJ -1.5/-2.5
29. New York Jets	1-3	+30000 to +35000	0.3%	12%	–	vs CLE, NYJ -1.5/-2.5
30. Arizona Cardinals	1-3	+50000 to +75000	0.1%	5%	–	vs DET, DET -4.5
31. Tennessee Titans	0-4	+100000	0.1%	5%	–	vs HOU, HOU -6.5
32. Miami Dolphins	0-4	+100000 to +200000	0.1%	4%	–	vs CIN, CIN -7/-7.5

*Plays Monday night, October 5. Week 5 lines as of Monday morning.

Tier 1: the Super Bowl contenders (1 to 6)

The top six did not change order from last week, and together they hold just over half of the fair title share (about 55%).

1. Los Angeles Rams (2-2)

2-2 after winning 24-20 at Philadelphia. Still the betting favorite at +600 to +650 despite the record, and favored by 2.5 over Buffalo on Monday night in Week 5.

2. Buffalo Bills (3-1)

3-1 after a 29-26 home loss to New England as 7-point favorites. Their title price drifted from +650 to +700 last week to +680 to +750 now. Wide receiver DJ Moore aggravated his shoulder injury Sunday.

3. Baltimore Ravens (3-1)

3-1 after a 24-18 win over Tennessee, but Lamar Jackson hurt his left ankle and left the stadium in a walking boot; an MRI was scheduled for Monday. Baltimore is still +800 to +900, and opened -4 at Atlanta.

4. San Francisco 49ers (4-0)

4-0 after beating Denver 24-14. Tied with Baltimore at about 8.8% fair title odds; the higher playoff price (81%) belongs to the Ravens by a hair, which settles the tie.

5. Seattle Seahawks (3-1)

3-1 after a 30-23 win over the Chargers. +850 to +950, and hosts San Francisco in Week 5 as a 2.5 to 3-point favorite.

6. Kansas City Chiefs (4-0)

4-0 after a 30-27 win at Las Vegas, with the best AFC playoff odds behind Buffalo (85%). Bye in Week 5.

Tier 2: likely playoff teams and the crowded middle (7 to 15)

Nine teams sit between about 3% and 5% fair title odds. Jacksonville is the clear leader of this group after winning 22-17 at Cincinnati, and it is the only one priced shorter than +2000.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1, +1400 to +1600): up from 10th. The Jaguars are 64% to win the AFC South and host Philadelphia in London as 4.5-point favorites.
8. Chicago Bears (3-1, +2000): up from 12th after beating the Jets 23-12. Favored by 2.5 at Green Bay.
9. Cincinnati Bengals (2-2, +2200 to +2700): down from 7th. Ja'Marr Chase is in the concussion protocol and Tee Higgins has an adductor injury. Favored by 7 to 7.5 at Miami.
10. Denver Broncos (2-2, +2200): up from 11th despite a 24-14 loss at San Francisco. Cornerback Patrick Surtain II hurt his ankle; reports say the Broncos believe he avoided a long-term injury.
11. Detroit Lions (2-2, +2200): down from 9th after losing 32-26 at Carolina on Sunday night. Favored by 4.5 at Arizona.
12. Minnesota Vikings (4-0, +2200 to +2500): the lowest-ranked unbeaten team, up one spot. Favored by 1.5 at New Orleans.
13. Philadelphia Eagles (2-2, +2200 to +2800): the biggest drop this week, from 8th. Saquon Barkley left Sunday's loss to the Rams with a hamstring injury.
14. Dallas Cowboys (2-2, +2000 to +2500): unchanged after winning 34-30 at Houston. The Cowboys host Tampa Bay on Thursday night as 10 to 10.5-point favorites.
15. New England Patriots (2-2, +2700 to +3000): unchanged in rank, but their playoff odds jumped from 48% to 63% after the win at Buffalo.

Tier 3: long shots with a path (16 to 23)

Each of these teams is priced between +4000 and +15000. Most are 2-2 or 1-2, and the market gives every one of them less than a 45% chance to make the playoffs.

16. Indianapolis Colts (2-2, +5500 to +6600): 37% to make the playoffs; at PIT, PIT -1.5/-2.5.
17. Green Bay Packers (2-2, +6000 to +6600): 30% to make the playoffs; vs CHI, CHI -2.5.
18. Houston Texans (0-4, +4000 to +7500): 27% to make the playoffs; at TEN, HOU -6.5.
19. Las Vegas Raiders (3-1, +6600 to +7500): 36% to make the playoffs; at NE, NE -3.5.
20. New Orleans Saints (1-2, plays Monday night, +5500 to +8000): 45% to make the playoffs; vs MIN, MIN -1.5.
21. Carolina Panthers (2-2, +9000 to +12500): 32% to make the playoffs; Bye.
22. Atlanta Falcons (1-2, plays Monday night, +10000 to +12500): 26% to make the playoffs; vs BAL, BAL -3.5/-4.
23. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2, +11000 to +15000): 24% to make the playoffs; vs IND, PIT -1.5/-2.5.

Tier 4: the 3-1 outliers and the rest (24 to 29)

This tier holds the two teams where the market and the standings disagree the most. The New York Giants (3-1) lead the NFC East and are ranked 24th. The Cleveland Browns (3-1) lead the AFC North and are ranked 28th.

24. New York Giants (3-1, +12500 to +15000): 21% to make the playoffs; at WAS, WAS -3/-3.5.
25. Washington Commanders (1-3, +10000 to +15000): 15% to make the playoffs; vs NYG, WAS -3/-3.5.
26. Los Angeles Chargers (0-4, +10000 to +15000): 12% to make the playoffs; vs DEN, DEN -3.5.
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-4, +12500 to +20000): 13% to make the playoffs; at DAL, DAL -10/-10.5.
28. Cleveland Browns (3-1, +15000 to +22500): 24% to make the playoffs; at NYJ, NYJ -1.5/-2.5.
29. New York Jets (1-3, +30000 to +35000): 12% to make the playoffs; vs CLE, NYJ -1.5/-2.5.

Tier 5: the bottom three (30 to 32)

The Arizona Cardinals (1-3) are 30th at +50000 to +75000. The Tennessee Titans (0-4) are 31st at +100000. The Miami Dolphins (0-4) are 32nd at +100000 to +200000. The Dolphins and Titans are both 0-4; Tennessee is a 6.5-point home underdog to the 0-4 Texans in Week 5.

Why the market rankings differ from the standings

Four weeks is a small sample, and futures prices lean on roster strength, injuries and schedule as much as on record. That is how a 2-2 Rams team can sit first while the 3-1 Giants and Browns sit 24th and 28th. The market also reacts fast to injuries: Baltimore's price held at +800 to +900 on Monday morning because Lamar Jackson's MRI result was not known yet, so expect a move once it is. For the seeds as they stand today, see our NFL playoff picture, and for every team's odds to get in, our NFL playoff predictions.

NFL power rankings questions

Who is No. 1 in the NFL power rankings for Week 5 of 2026?+

The Los Angeles Rams are No. 1 in Guaranteed Sport Picks' market-based NFL power rankings for Week 5, at +600 to +650 to win the Super Bowl as of October 5, 2026, despite a 2-2 record. The Buffalo Bills are second at +680 to +750.

How are these NFL power rankings calculated?+

Each team is ranked by its fair Super Bowl odds: the middle price across bet365, BetMGM, Caesars and FanDuel with the sportsbook margin removed across all 32 teams. Ties go to the team with higher playoff odds.

Which team moved up the most in the Week 5 NFL power rankings?+

The Chicago Bears (12th to 8th) and Carolina Panthers (25th to 21st) each climbed four spots after Week 4 wins. The Philadelphia Eagles fell the most, from 8th to 13th.

Why are the 3-1 Giants ranked so low?+

The New York Giants lead the NFC East at 3-1 but are priced at +12500 to +15000 to win the Super Bowl as of October 5, 2026, which ranks 24th. The market gives them about a 21% chance to make the playoffs.

When are the NFL power rankings updated?+

Guaranteed Sport Picks publishes new market-based NFL power rankings every Monday of the 2026 season, after the Sunday games.